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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 3.89K | $0.308 | $1.09K | -$110.8 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.38K | $0.100 | $538 | Aug 2, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 17.18K |
| $0.064 |
| $833.44 |
| -$269.55 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 5.38K | $0.100 | $349.7 | -$188.3 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 2.79K | $0.153 | $292.44 | -$135.13 |
| buy |
| 3.89K |
| $0.308 |
| $1.2K |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes | buy | 17.18K | $0.064 | $1.1K | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.79K | $0.154 | $427.58 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.98K | $0.007 | $154.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.12K | $0.025 | $272.98 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.57K | $0.026 | $94 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | sell | 4.7K | $0.020 | $93.9 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 4.7K | $0.090 | $422.56 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | buy | 18.75K | $0.027 | $498.7 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.98K | $0.021 | $441.7 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 356.71 | $0.070 | $24.97 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.76K | $0.056 | $600 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 4.62K | $0.135 | $624.97 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 198.07 | $0.150 | $29.71 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 426.67 | $0.150 | $64 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.150 | $600 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.79K | $0.020 | $425.6 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.68K | $0.020 | $268.11 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.96K | $0.037 | $255.18 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.15K | $0.035 | $284.94 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.37K | $0.032 | $624.94 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 9.78K | $0.031 | $300.71 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | sell | 5.33K | $0.100 | $532.64 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | buy | 2.29K | $0.430 | $982.87 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.423 | $548.73 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.436 | $705.04 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Yes | sell | 3.13K | $0.243 | $761.43 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Yes | buy | 3.03K | $0.199 | $602.28 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.9K | $0.029 | $643.51 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.21K | $0.070 | $433.28 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.066 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.55K | $0.065 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.61K | $0.063 | $664.65 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.02K | $0.050 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 9.09K | $0.012 | $109.93 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 5.82K | $0.037 | $215.6 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 978.25 | $0.515 | $503.34 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 16.03 | $0.499 | $8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 636.22 | $0.613 | $390 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 813.01 | $0.615 | $500 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 819.67 | $0.610 | $500 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.4K | $0.934 | $2.24K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 331.29 | $0.022 | $7.29 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.73K | $0.008 | $37.85 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 979.89 | $0.280 | $274.37 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.11K | $0.130 | $274.37 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.42K | $0.279 | $396.62 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.09K | $0.190 | $396.63 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.74K | $0.064 | $174.46 | Feb 27, 2026 |