
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 38% on 26 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2026 to 1 May 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 38% on 26 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 18% on 27 Mar 2026. $4.11M traded over the market's life.
561 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 2:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 38.0% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anas10 | Yes | 99.27K |
| How.Dare.You | Yes | 45.36K |
| tsekaylame | Yes | 42.74K |
| Keen Falcon D40C | Yes | 35.54K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
| Kingpin700 | Yes | 26.78K |
| Skinny-Class | Yes | 25.52K |
| Murkoff | Yes | 25.33K |
| Unimportant-Futon | Yes | 14.87K |
| starbuck02 | Yes | 11.41K |
| NoaQT | Yes | 10K |
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-april-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page