Latest trade
Jul 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:46 PM UTC.
Analytics
bgdr is down $3.79 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 46 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-10 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:46 PM UTC.
$3.49 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 12 markets; 48.0% were buys. They run from Apr 16, 2026 UTC to Jul 11, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 13 | $0.941 | $12.42 | +$0.19 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-10 08:04 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 12:46 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 12:46 UTC
polymarket positions
48 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-10 08:04 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $29.99 and losing ones cost $25.84 across 46 settled positions. 47.8% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $8.88 on “Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $8.78 on “Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 11 Jul 2026. It has traded 37 markets. Its open positions are worth $28.76 across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 12 |
| $0.703 |
| $11.61 |
| +$3.18 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 3 | $0.860 | $2.82 | +$0.24 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 17 | $0.499 | $1.38 | -$7.11 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | Yes | 7 | $0.200 | $0.41 | -$0.99 |
 Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 1 | $0.210 | $0.07 | -$0.14 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.140 | $0.06 | -$0.08 |
| sell |
| 12 |
| $0.274 |
| $3.29 |
| Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No | sell | 7 | $0.956 | $6.69 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No | buy | 7 | $0.956 | $6.69 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 6 | $0.720 | $4.32 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 13 | $0.705 | $9.17 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No | buy | 8 | $0.940 | $7.52 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No | sell | 8 | $0.910 | $7.28 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.190 | $1.71 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 9 | $0.439 | $3.95 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.554 | $3.88 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.942 | $4.71 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | May 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.310 | $2.79 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.519 | $5.19 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.482 | $10.6 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.180 | $1.44 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.190 | $3.23 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.209 | $1.05 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.583 | $2.92 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.245 | $1.47 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.150 | $1.2 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 8 | $0.800 | $6.4 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.200 | $2.4 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.150 | $1.2 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.200 | $4.8 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.191 | $1.15 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.538 | $2.69 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No | sell | 14 | $0.780 | $10.92 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.220 | $1.54 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.860 | $6.02 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.150 | $1.65 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.899 | $12.59 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No | sell | 14 | $0.780 | $10.92 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.220 | $3.52 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11 | $0.101 | $1.11 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.899 | $4.5 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.073 | $1.53 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.071 | $1.49 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 28 | $0.790 | $22.12 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.210 | $5.04 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.860 | $6.88 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.140 | $1.82 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.096 | $1.06 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.