Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 479.31 | $0.940 | $473.8 | +$23.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No | buy | 180 | $0.400 | $72 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 275 |
| $0.815 |
| $246.13 |
| +$22.03 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 280 | $0.810 | $239.4 | +$12.6 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 240 | $0.750 | $236.16 | +$56.16 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 270 | $0.800 | $230.85 | +$14.85 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 179.06 | $0.499 | $155.78 | +$66.44 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.670 | $147 | +$13 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 180 | $0.420 | $146.7 | +$71.1 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 179.99 | $0.610 | $126.9 | +$17.1 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 185 | $0.640 | $121.18 | +$2.78 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 110 | $0.591 | $107.25 | +$42.26 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 220 | $0.276 | $89.1 | +$28.45 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 153 | $0.590 | $81.86 | -$8.41 |
 Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 175 | $0.390 | $65.63 | -$2.63 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 220 | $0.300 | $58.3 | -$7.7 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.315 | $57 | -$6 |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 316.68 | $0.528 | $55.42 | -$111.74 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 199.99 | $0.340 | $51 | -$17 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 400 | $0.130 | $50 | -$2 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 270 | $0.204 | $47.25 | -$7.94 |
 Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 550 | $0.090 | $24.75 | -$24.75 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 6 | $0.870 | $5.61 | +$0.39 |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 83.65 | $0.084 | $2.22 | -$4.81 |
| buy |
| 270 |
| $0.800 |
| $216 |
| 8d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.315 | $63 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.204 | $55.19 | 14d ago |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 146.68 | $0.540 | $79.21 | 20d ago |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 275 | $0.815 | $224.1 | 20d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 220 | $0.276 | $60.65 | 21d ago |
| Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.390 | $68.25 | 21d ago |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.517 | $87.95 | 21d ago |
 Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 180 | $0.530 | $95.4 | 22d ago |
 Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Yes | buy | 168.85 | $0.451 | $76.08 | 23d ago |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16?No | buy | 200 | $0.640 | $128 | 25d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 199.99 | $0.340 | $68 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 199.99 | $0.680 | $135.99 | 27d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.59 | $0.600 | $5.15 | 29d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 101.41 | $0.590 | $59.83 | 29d ago |
 Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.680 | $135.99 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.690 | $138.07 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Yes | buy | 109 | $0.249 | $27.17 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?No | buy | 110 | $0.743 | $81.71 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.047 | $46.58 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 400 | $0.130 | $52 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.300 | $66 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.870 | $5.22 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 479.31 | $0.940 | $450.55 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 423.21 | $0.978 | $413.9 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 180 | $0.420 | $75.6 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 40.08 | $0.750 | $30.06 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 370 | $0.870 | $321.9 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 550 | $0.090 | $49.5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.630 | $163.8 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.670 | $134 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 185 | $0.640 | $118.4 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 175 | $0.510 | $89.25 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 280 | $0.810 | $226.8 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?Yes | buy | 97 | $0.098 | $9.55 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.140 | $10.5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.230 | $2.76 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.350 | $14 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.510 | $18.36 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 199.99 | $0.340 | $68 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 153 | $0.590 | $90.27 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 13 | $0.450 | $5.85 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 46.06 | $0.510 | $23.49 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC | buy | 593.43 | $0.580 | $344.19 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC | buy | 2.07K | $0.580 | $1.2K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC | buy | 2.07K | $0.580 | $1.2K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC | buy | 2.07K | $0.580 | $1.2K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC | buy | 2.07K | $0.580 | $1.2K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC | buy | 2.07K | $0.580 | $1.2K | Dec 30, 2025 |