Analytics
Yes is at 3.1%, down 11 points from 14% when the market opened on 10 Oct 2026.
Across the 14 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 14% on 10 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.5%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 2.8% on 13 Oct 2026.
$12.06K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $710.93, with a 1.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 126 trades, $549.03 bought Yes and $4.76K bought No; the largest was a $1.3K buy of No at 96.0¢.
The largest Yes position is macrosteaks with 1.3K shares; the largest No position is QMG-CORE with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 84.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 68 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 11:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 10 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | 14.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 3.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| QMG-CORE | No | 1.35K |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 1.3K |
| AJSV | Yes | 534.19 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Chipotle Mexican Grill will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Starbucks by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Starbucks or Chipotle Mexican Grill will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. A bid or offer announcement without the indication of a settled agreement will not qualify. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A "controlling interest" refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Starbucks or Chipotle Mexican Grill, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-starbucks-acquire-chipotle-in-2026
| VirtualRem |
| No |
| 519 |
| firstforge | No | 350 |
| Jjw | No | 296.06 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 181.58 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 161.99 |
| NFTNerd420 | Yes | 128.31 |
| Sturdy-Thrush | No | 102.18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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