Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?

geopoliticsResolved

No, settled Sep 26, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$33.9K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 26, 2026 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 26 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 17 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 17 Sep 2026 to 26 Sep 2026, the highest close was 52.5% on 17 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 32% on 18 Sep 2026. $33.91K traded over the market's life.

83 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 27, 4:19 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 17 Sep 2026 – 26 Sep 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	10.19K
anoin123	Yes	1.23K
Brendanayxu	Yes	1K
Honest-Therapist	Yes	1K

10 of 83 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House. This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify. For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory. If no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify. This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. The resolution source will be video footage.

Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-trump-and-xi-shake-hands-20260916

Dates

Topic room