Analytics
Resolved Esteban Ribovics on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Esteban Ribovics at 63.5%. The King Green side opened at 50.5% on 20 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 20 Sep 2026 and the low 29.5% on 25 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 29.5% on 25 Sep 2026. $261.41K traded over the market's life.
271 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 1:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the King Green price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 20 Sep 2026 – 4 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | King Green price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | 50.5% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 36.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | King Green | 12.09K |
| Mastermoney | King Green | 10.41K |
| Testy-State | King Green | 10K |
| Elaran1993 | King Green | 7.41K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "King Green" if King Green is officially declared the winner of the fight against Esteban Ribovics at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Esteban Ribovics" if Esteban Ribovics is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kin-est1-2026-10-03
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| GeepaP | King Green | 6K |
| Neon Voyager E175 | King Green | 4.2K |
| GambleFroth | King Green | 4K |
| Numb-Sub | King Green | 3.49K |
| claudesports | King Green | 2.37K |
| neymar1 | King Green | 2.3K |
