Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:11 AM UTC.
Analytics
prediction231 is down $34.09 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 41 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:11 AM UTC.
$2.48 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 34 markets; 64.0% were buys. They run from Oct 21, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany? | Yes | 44 | $0.430 | $26.18 | +$7.26 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 24?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.180 | $2.52 | 6m ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 10:04 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-23 10:11 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 10:11 UTC
polymarket positions
43 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 10:04 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $50.27 and losing ones cost $49.13 across 41 settled positions. 31.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $11.4 on “Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?” (No); the largest loss, $12 on “Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 90 markets. Its open positions are worth $291.44 across 60 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 17.2 |
| $0.692 |
| $17.17 |
| +$5.26 |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $60 in October? | No | 20 | $0.390 | $16.8 | +$9 |
 Will "Water Girl" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 25.02 | $0.180 | $9.63 | +$5.13 |
| Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 20 | $0.480 | $9.5 | -$0.1 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 20 | $0.460 | $9.4 | +$0.2 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? | Yes | 20 | $0.467 | $9.1 | -$0.24 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 20 | $0.472 | $8.81 | -$0.63 |
 Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.370 | $8.8 | +$1.4 |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.210 | $8.6 | +$4.4 |
 Will Verizon (VZ) Q3 total operating revenue be above $35B? | No | 10.43 | $0.600 | $8.44 | +$2.19 |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | No | 20 | $0.450 | $7.9 | -$1.1 |
 Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | No | 40 | $0.195 | $7.8 | $0 |
 Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? | Yes | 20 | $0.400 | $7.5 | -$0.5 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | No | 20 | $0.350 | $6.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will Brooks & Dunn win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 20 | $0.360 | $6.8 | -$0.4 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.286 | $6.79 | +$1.07 |
 Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.360 | $6.7 | -$0.5 |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September? | Yes | 20 | $0.290 | $6.2 | +$0.4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 24? | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $5.8 | +$0.8 |
 Will the Calgary Flames finish the 2026-27 regular season with the fewest points? | Yes | 20 | $0.370 | $5.6 | -$1.8 |
 Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 20 | $0.270 | $5.1 | -$0.3 |
 Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.280 | $5 | -$0.6 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 24? | Yes | 13 | $0.350 | $4.94 | +$0.39 |
 Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.230 | $4.9 | +$0.3 |
| buy |
| 8 |
| $0.380 |
| $3.04 |
| 52m ago |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes | sell | 13.6 | $0.180 | $2.45 | 1h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 24?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.130 | $0.65 | 1h ago |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | 1h ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.152 | $3.04 | 2h ago |
 Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.210 | $0 | 3h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 24?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.180 | $0.9 | 3h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 24?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | 4h ago |
 Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?No | sell | 5.16 | $0.160 | $0.83 | 4h ago |
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?No | sell | 9.69 | $0.160 | $1.55 | 4h ago |
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?No | sell | 5.15 | $0.160 | $0.82 | 4h ago |
 Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | 4h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 24?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.350 | $4.55 | 5h ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.8 | $0.076 | $0.44 | 5h ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.114 | $2.28 | 5h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.060 | $0.3 | 5h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 24?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.250 | $1.75 | 5h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 24?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.250 | $1.75 | 5h ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes | sell | 6.4 | $0.200 | $1.28 | 6h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 24?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | 7h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 24?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | 8h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 24?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 9h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.130 | $0.65 | 9h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 24?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | 9h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 24?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | 10h ago |
| Will AP call US House control by November 13, 11:59 PM?No | sell | 20 | $0.020 | $0.4 | 11h ago |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | 12h ago |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | 12h ago |
| Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 8.07 | $0.110 | $0.89 | 13h ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.161 | $3.22 | 14h ago |
| Will PP win the most seats in Segovia in the 2026 Spanish general election?No | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | 14h ago |
 Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | 15h ago |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | 15h ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | 16h ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | 18h ago |
 Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | 19h ago |
 Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 19.86 | $0.300 | $5.96 | 21h ago |
| Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 0.14 | $0.320 | $0.04 | 22h ago |
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?No | buy | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | 1d ago |
 US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.090 | $0.2 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?No | buy | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | 1d ago |
| Will AP call US House control by November 13, 11:59 PM?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 1d ago |
 Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | 1d ago |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 275,000 and 300,000?Yes | sell | 13.5 | $0.360 | $4.86 | 1d ago |
| Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | 1d ago |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | 1d ago |
| Will the Calgary Flames finish the 2026-27 regular season with the fewest points?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | 1d ago |
| Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | 1d ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.49 | $0.210 | $2.83 | 1d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.