Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 166.67 |
| $0.006 |
| $1 |
| Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?Yes | buy | 99.2 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 32.25 | $0.031 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?No | buy | 57.22 | $0.017 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?No | buy | 59.41 | $0.017 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 5?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?Yes | buy | 1.88 | $0.800 | $1.5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike six countries in March?Yes | buy | 80.11 | $0.012 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike four countries in March?Yes | buy | 101.12 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike three countries in March?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike two countries in March?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike one country in March?Yes | buy | 152.38 | $0.007 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 18.41 | $0.255 | $4.69 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE in March?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 18.41 | $0.054 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.027 | $2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Trump Mobile smartphone released before September?Yes | buy | 164.29 | $0.006 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Trump Mobile smartphone released before September?Yes | buy | 110.67 | $0.045 | $5 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Trump Mobile smartphone released before September?Yes | buy | 30.61 | $0.033 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 56.55 | $0.018 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Elon apologize to Trump before August?Yes | buy | 57.5 | $0.017 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Chainlink hit $30 before August?Yes | buy | 44.17 | $0.023 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 59.41 | $0.017 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Trump Mobile smartphone released before September?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 24?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |