Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 17 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 77 daily closes on record from 17 Jun 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, the highest close was 10.5% on 21 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Sep 2025. $57.56K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 9:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 77 points, 17 Jun 2025 – 1 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jun 2025 | 9.5% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 5.14K |
| Machiaveli | Yes | 500 |
| RMKza | Yes | 450 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Mobile smartphone, referred to as the "T1 Phone," becomes publicly available for purchase and delivery by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If the smartphone is only available for pre-order without confirmed shipping or delivery this will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-mobile-smartphone-released-before-september
| Yes |
| 416.83 |
| Ivan503 | Yes | 381.88 |
| DotedCave5 | Yes | 125 |
| 9am | Yes | 111.11 |
| cryNb | Yes | 111.11 |
| zenscientist | Yes | 110 |
| spectrez | Yes | 100 |
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