Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 236 | $0.110 | $25.96 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 229.88 |
| $0.101 |
| $23.22 |
| Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?No | buy | 112.5 | $0.311 | $35 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 192.06 | $0.340 | $65.3 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?No | sell | 20.27 | $0.850 | $17.23 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Yes | sell | 272.63 | $0.006 | $1.62 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 25.97 | $0.880 | $22.85 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.110 | $2.29 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | sell | 29.76 | $0.840 | $25 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 15?No | buy | 33.77 | $0.770 | $26 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 29.76 | $0.840 | $25 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?No | buy | 20.27 | $0.740 | $15 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Yes | buy | 272.63 | $0.018 | $5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Yes | buy | 229.89 | $0.087 | $20 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?No | sell | 4.93 | $0.830 | $4.09 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?No | buy | 4.94 | $0.810 | $4 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.190 | $5.28 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?No | buy | 6.56 | $0.610 | $4 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Trump x Khamenei talk before July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce military actions against Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 28.19 | $0.816 | $23 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 U.S. fertility rate up in Q1 2025?No | buy | 32.05 | $0.780 | $25 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 FDA approves Regeneron’s Dupixent for bullous pemphigoid?No | buy | 53.59 | $0.280 | $15 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July?No | buy | 132.75 | $0.151 | $20 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Trump Mobile smartphone released before September?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.100 | $45 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test by June 30?Yes | buy | 63.15 | $0.396 | $25 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 73.21 | $0.683 | $50 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 14.79 | $0.676 | $10 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 87.72 | $0.057 | $5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 71.94 | $0.139 | $10 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 45.66 | $0.219 | $10 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jun 18, 2025 |