Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 7 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 7 Jul 2025 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 11.5% on 7 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 31 Jul 2025. $36.21K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 7 Jul 2025 – 1 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2025 | 11.5% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FrosenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 4.76K |
| Linus1995 | Yes | 1.07K |
| SantaBaby | Yes | 737.3 |
| Zeilsheim |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an apology is issued to Donald Trump by Elon Musk between July 6 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An apology consists of any of the following: - An explicit statement using the words “apologize,” “sorry,” “regret,” “I was wrong,” or similar expressions of remorse directed at the specified individual - A public statement acknowledging fault or error in their statements or actions toward the specified individual - A retraction of previous negative statements coupled with an expression of regret or wrongdoing The following will not qualify: - Conditional apologies (e.g., “I'm sorry if…” “I would be sorry if…”) - Apologies to third parties or the public without specifically apologizing to the other party - Sarcastic or clearly insincere statements The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Elon Musk. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/musk-apologises-to-trump-before-august
| Yes |
| 606.72 |
| Tomos | Yes | 295.86 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 283 |
| GreyCascade | Yes | 250 |
| ProIsrael | Yes | 200 |
| Shmabo | Yes | 166.67 |
| NoahSch | Yes | 125 |
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