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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.73 | $0.955 | $0.72 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 78 | $0.973 | $75.89 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.340 |
| $3.4 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.350 | $10.5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 85 | $0.977 | $83.05 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.023 | $1.93 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | sell | 109 | $0.120 | $13.08 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.100 | $14 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 115 | $0.700 | $80.5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 53 | $0.520 | $27.56 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 53 | $0.520 | $27.56 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 78 | $0.941 | $73.4 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 78 | $0.942 | $73.48 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 83 | $0.885 | $73.46 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 98 | $0.820 | $80.36 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 98 | $0.820 | $80.36 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 84 | $0.953 | $80.05 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 84 | $0.952 | $79.97 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.540 | $17.82 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.540 | $17.82 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 87 | $0.930 | $80.91 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 186 | $0.035 | $6.51 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 76 | $0.510 | $38.76 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 18 | $0.543 | $9.77 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 156 | $0.016 | $2.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 55.86 | $0.928 | $51.84 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 74 | $0.928 | $68.67 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 95 | $0.810 | $76.95 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 95 | $0.800 | $76 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 80 | $0.955 | $76.4 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 51.09 | $0.023 | $1.18 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 36 | $0.955 | $34.38 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 36 | $0.955 | $34.38 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.050 | $4.15 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.011 | $0.55 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 8 | $0.690 | $5.52 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 159 | $0.012 | $1.91 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 174 | $0.480 | $83.52 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 174 | $0.710 | $123.54 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.341 | $68.2 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 362 | $0.430 | $155.66 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 125 | $0.014 | $1.75 | May 23, 2026 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.078 | $6.32 | May 13, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.925 | $21.28 | May 13, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.927 | $21.32 | May 13, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 157 | $0.925 | $145.23 | May 13, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 142 | $0.925 | $131.35 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 679 | $0.842 | $571.72 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 679 | $0.842 | $571.72 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No | buy | 640 | $0.983 | $629.12 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 649 | $0.883 | $573.07 | Apr 23, 2026 |