Analytics
Resolved No on 3 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.5%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 24 Jun 2025. Before it settled, the high was 21.5% on 24 Jun 2025 and the low 0.7% on 5 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 3.5% on 30 Jun 2025. $13.37M traded over the market's life.
1,000 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 4, 5:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 290 points, 24 Jun 2025 – 3 May 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2025 | 21.5% |
| 3 May 2026 | 3.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.71M |
| DrPufferfish | Yes | 450.27K |
| DickTurbin | Yes | 372.93K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA. The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-nba-champion
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| pd.unique | Yes | 112.67K |
| lucio12z16 | Yes | 98.59K |
| dianeparry | Yes | 77K |
| Countryside | Yes | 73.81K |
| donky | Yes | 70.02K |
| rivermarkets | Yes | 69.24K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 68.07K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
