Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 29 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 134 daily closes on record from 29 Jan 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 66.5% on 11 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 63.5% on 14 May 2026. $814.61K traded over the market's life.
296 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 3:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 134 points, 29 Jan 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2026 | 52.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bleak-Jealousy | Yes | 9.12K |
| Vicious-Hardhat | Yes | 6.26K |
| Pulser | Yes | 6.2K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-october-31
| rgess | Yes | 2.18K |
| Dismal-Chalice | Yes | 2K |
| Ill-Fated-Minister | Yes | 1.78K |
| Impure-Contagion | Yes | 1.72K |
| Violet Oracle 9FA1 | Yes | 1.38K |
| Golden Vector A3C9 | Yes | 1.15K |
| CHIKI33 | Yes | 960 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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