Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 1.72K | $0.284 | $154.57 | -$333.67 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 206.6 | $0.370 | $76.44 | 29d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.39K |
| $0.106 |
| $90.45 |
| -$57.39 |
 Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.400 | $61.25 | -$38.75 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 488.82 | $0.326 | $41.55 | -$117.94 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2.88K | $0.014 | $36.06 | -$4.24 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November? | Yes | 610.44 | $0.100 | $33.57 | -$27.47 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 249.99 | $0.140 | $31.25 | -$3.75 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | 30 | $0.660 | $22.35 | +$2.55 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 5K | $0.003 | $17.5 | +$2.5 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 500.88 | $0.150 | $16.53 | -$58.66 |
 Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.156 | $3.95 | -$11.67 |
 Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 481.04 | $0.028 | $2.16 | -$11.1 |
| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.110 |
| $33 |
| 29d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 55.7 | $0.160 | $8.91 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 26.52 | $0.156 | $4.13 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | buy | 540 | $0.130 | $70.2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Yes | buy | 369.99 | $0.190 | $70.3 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.041 | $20.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 389 | $0.220 | $85.58 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.112 | $20.1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 904.87 | $0.188 | $170.35 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.250 | $75 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.053 | $15.96 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 330 | $0.048 | $15.81 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.080 | $40 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.041 | $41 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 169.9 | $0.043 | $7.28 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.070 | $35 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.160 | $320 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.250 | $300 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.330 | $59.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?Yes | buy | 610.44 | $0.100 | $61.04 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.150 | $75 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.390 | $0.55 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Yes | sell | 360 | $0.350 | $126 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Yes | sell | 24.02 | $0.360 | $8.65 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Yes | sell | 300.26 | $0.351 | $105.47 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Yes | sell | 445.26 | $0.410 | $182.56 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.320 | $159.8 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.380 | $114 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.380 | $114 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Yes | buy | 705.98 | $0.356 | $251.13 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Yes | buy | 424.98 | $0.344 | $146.09 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Yes | buy | 332.94 | $0.398 | $132.49 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No | buy | 55 | $0.100 | $5.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 151.48 | $0.217 | $32.87 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.260 | $130 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?No | sell | 0.88 | $0.983 | $0.87 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?No | sell | 494.92 | $0.991 | $490.47 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.140 | $21 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by July 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.030 | $9 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Yes | sell | 5.99 | $0.133 | $0.8 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Yes | sell | 0.18 | $0.290 | $0.05 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Yes | sell | 0.93 | $0.024 | $0.02 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by July 31?Yes | buy | 402 | $0.026 | $10.65 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.440 | $8.8 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?No | buy | 297 | $0.430 | $127.61 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?No | buy | 192.81 | $0.410 | $79.05 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?No | buy | 32 | $0.400 | $12.8 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 997.76 | $0.014 | $13.91 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?Yes | sell | 658.3 | $0.047 | $30.74 | Jul 25, 2026 |