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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 859.94 | $0.350 | $735.25 | +$434.27 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | 10d ago |
 |
| No |
| 770 |
| $0.390 |
| $573.65 |
| +$273.35 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 719.97 | $0.350 | $511.18 | +$259.19 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | Yes | 739.98 | $0.350 | $404.03 | +$145.04 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 600 | $0.500 | $339 | +$39 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.500 | $332.5 | +$82.5 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.500 | $322.5 | +$72.5 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.300 | $285 | -$15 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 500 | $0.500 | $282.5 | +$32.5 |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | No | 650 | $0.400 | $256.75 | -$3.25 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.500 | $212.5 | -$37.5 |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | No | 577.77 | $0.330 | $205.11 | +$14.44 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30? | Yes | 530 | $0.470 | $177.55 | -$71.55 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | No | 191.44 | $0.400 | $166.56 | +$89.98 |
 Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | No | 223.43 | $0.500 | $112.83 | +$1.12 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.500 | $102 | -$98 |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 315.61 | $0.400 | $53.65 | -$72.59 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 1K | $0.300 | $47.5 | -$252.5 |
 Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | No | 10.92 | $0.400 | $10.87 | +$6.5 |
| sell |
| 1.04K |
| $0.121 |
| $125.89 |
| 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 71.9 | $0.500 | $35.95 | 17d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | 17d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.500 | $250 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 18.74 | $0.350 | $6.56 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.088 | $35.33 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026?No | sell | 499.99 | $0.037 | $18.7 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 26.16 | $0.300 | $7.85 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?Yes | sell | 910 | $0.001 | $0.91 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.322 | $25.75 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?Yes | sell | 129.99 | $0.281 | $36.53 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports | sell | 50 | $0.350 | $17.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200.83 | $0.480 | $96.4 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?No | sell | 32 | $0.320 | $10.24 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?No | buy | 210 | $0.480 | $100.8 | May 14, 2026 |
 Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.354 | $141.8 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?No | buy | 67.58 | $0.500 | $33.79 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 264 | $0.380 | $100.32 | May 6, 2026 |
 North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 167.11 | $0.299 | $50 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 600 | $0.500 | $300 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 297.1 | $0.100 | $29.71 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 65.48 | $0.076 | $5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 78.71 | $0.064 | $5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.54 | $0.370 | $2.79 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.4K | $0.005 | $7 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 344.16 | $0.350 | $120.46 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?Yes | buy | 831.1 | $0.397 | $329.63 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?No | sell | 170 | $0.998 | $169.66 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 159.98 | $0.999 | $159.82 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?Yes | buy | 571.86 | $0.400 | $228.59 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 247.62 | $0.404 | $100 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.2 | $0.342 | $10 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.455 | $90.97 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.26K | $0.115 | $144.55 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 58.52 | $0.480 | $28.09 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No | sell | 50.47 | $0.999 | $50.42 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 104 | $0.740 | $76.96 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE again in March?Yes | sell | 156.51 | $0.999 | $156.35 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 131 | $0.480 | $62.88 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.500 | $2.63 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.500 | $7 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?Yes | sell | 543.08 | $0.014 | $7.44 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE again in March?Yes | buy | 46.41 | $0.640 | $29.7 | Apr 4, 2026 |