Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Yes | buy | 7.23 | $0.530 | $3.83 | Jan 15, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 273.25 |
| $0.014 |
| $3.83 |
| Jan 15, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 273.26 | $0.289 | $79.02 | Jan 15, 2026 |
US military action against Iran by Sunday?No | sell | 160 | $0.010 | $1.6 | Jun 21, 2025 |
US military action against Iran by Monday?No | sell | 180 | $0.050 | $9 | Jun 21, 2025 |
US military action against Iran by Saturday?No | sell | 3.2K | $0.021 | $68.42 | Jun 21, 2025 |
US military action against Iran by Saturday?No | buy | 3.2K | $0.823 | $2.63K | Jun 21, 2025 |
US military action against Iran by Saturday?No | sell | 3.16K | $0.898 | $2.83K | Jun 21, 2025 |
US military action against Iran by Saturday?No | buy | 1.99K | $0.940 | $1.87K | Jun 21, 2025 |
US military action against Iran by Saturday?No | buy | 531.91 | $0.940 | $500 | Jun 21, 2025 |
US military action against Iran by Saturday?No | buy | 531.91 | $0.940 | $500 | Jun 21, 2025 |
US military action against Iran by Saturday?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Jun 21, 2025 |
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?No | sell | 104.7 | $0.959 | $100.43 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | sell | 629.47 | $0.610 | $383.98 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | sell | 209.82 | $0.620 | $130.09 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | sell | 279.76 | $0.620 | $173.45 | Jun 19, 2025 |
US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 410.5 | $0.632 | $259.58 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.447 | $500 | Jun 19, 2025 |
US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 410.51 | $0.609 | $250 | Jun 18, 2025 |
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Yes | sell | 104.16 | $0.810 | $84.37 | Jun 13, 2025 |
Israel military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 526.32 | $0.019 | $10 | Jun 13, 2025 |
Spotify working again by midnight?Yes | buy | 294.71 | $0.339 | $100 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Spotify working again by midnight?Yes | buy | 397.46 | $0.755 | $300 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?No | sell | 730.97 | $0.547 | $399.76 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?No | buy | 182.48 | $0.548 | $100 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?Yes | sell | 159.97 | $0.475 | $76.01 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?Yes | buy | 159.96 | $0.625 | $100 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?No | buy | 548.49 | $0.547 | $300 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?Yes | sell | 363.36 | $0.215 | $77.97 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?Yes | buy | 363.37 | $0.275 | $100 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?Yes | sell | 28.86 | $0.396 | $11.44 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?Yes | buy | 28.86 | $0.693 | $20 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?Yes | sell | 39.21 | $0.220 | $8.63 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?Yes | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Jun 11, 2025 |
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?Yes | sell | 1.12K | $0.574 | $642.13 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?Yes | buy | 424.49 | $0.707 | $300 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | sell | 109.89 | $0.850 | $93.41 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.333 | $100 | Jun 10, 2025 |
Will Trump declare martial law in LA by Friday?No | buy | 102.25 | $0.978 | $100 | Jun 10, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?Yes | buy | 394.4 | $0.507 | $200 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?No | sell | 825.5 | $0.753 | $621.77 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?No | sell | 969.84 | $0.623 | $604.13 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?No | buy | 253.35 | $0.789 | $200 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?No | buy | 116.98 | $0.855 | $100 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?No | buy | 118.01 | $0.847 | $100 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Trump deploys Marines to LA protests by Friday?Yes | buy | 259.74 | $0.770 | $200 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?No | buy | 227.27 | $0.880 | $200 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?Yes | sell | 135.19 | $0.994 | $134.38 | Jun 9, 2025 |