Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 1.8% on 11 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2025 to 14 Jun 2025, the highest close was 1.8% on 11 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 14 Jun 2025. $59.33K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 15, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 11 Jun 2025 – 14 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2025 | 1.8% |
| 14 Jun 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration officially declares martial law in Los Angeles between June 9 and June 13, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements suggesting that martial law is being considered, or informal references to the situation as “martial law-like,” will not qualify unless accompanied by an official declaration. A broader declaration of martial law (e.g. statewide or nationwide) will qualify, so long as it includes Los Angeles within its scope. The primary resolution source for this market will be official U.S. government statements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-declare-martial-law-in-la-by-friday
| GAMET123 | Yes | 289.39 |
| dsytfg | Yes | 209.92 |
| orgaz | Yes | 188.89 |
| nojeffrey | Yes | 33.33 |
| viisikanta | Yes | 26.32 |
| bemcrazzy | Yes | 14.29 |
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