Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 30% on 30 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 30 May 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 30% on 30 May 2025 and the lowest 1.1% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 15% on 31 May 2025. $242.9K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 7:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 30 May 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 May 2025 | 30.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 85843 | Yes | 15K |
| Dizzdaz888 | Yes | 7.33K |
| SupraFii | Yes | 4.34K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the launch date of Tesla's unsupervised full self-driving (FSD) technology.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tesla-launches-unsupervised-full-self-driving-fsd-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 3.11K |
| IamBack | Yes | 2K |
| Ari98 | Yes | 1.82K |
| Drafty-Rail | Yes | 1.43K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 488 |
| teejee | Yes | 250.83 |
| G0lden | Yes | 208 |
