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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 64 | $0.122 | $17.6 | +$9.8 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 14 | $0.520 | $7.28 | 15d ago |
|
| No |
| 22 |
| $0.350 |
| $10.45 |
| +$2.75 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 11 | $0.710 | $9.41 | +$1.6 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 13 | $0.610 | $8.39 | +$0.46 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 18 | $0.430 | $6.57 | -$1.17 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 12 | $0.650 | $6.3 | -$1.5 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | 70 | $0.110 | $5.6 | -$2.1 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 18 | $0.290 | $4.47 | -$0.75 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 88 | $0.090 | $3.96 | -$3.95 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 70 | $0.110 | $3.85 | -$3.85 |
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | No | 2 | $0.474 | $0.75 | -$0.2 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 0.47 | $0.100 | $0.04 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 64 |
| $0.130 |
| $8.32 |
| 24d ago |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | 27d ago |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | buy | 37 | $0.200 | $7.4 | 28d ago |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 19 | $0.350 | $6.65 | 28d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 64 | $0.120 | $7.68 | 29d ago |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 14 | $0.557 | $7.8 | 29d ago |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 19 | $0.400 | $7.6 | 29d ago |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.180 | $7.02 | 29d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.200 | $7.8 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.440 | $7.92 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 14 | $0.564 | $7.9 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 86 | $0.070 | $6.02 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.090 | $7.74 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 22 | $0.350 | $7.7 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 14 | $0.560 | $7.84 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 31 | $0.253 | $7.84 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.454 | $7.26 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 14 | $0.550 | $7.7 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.430 | $7.74 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.180 | $7.38 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | buy | 31 | $0.254 | $7.87 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | sell | 21 | $0.330 | $6.93 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 14 | $0.560 | $7.84 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.440 | $7.92 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.390 | $7.02 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.440 | $7.92 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.190 | $7.79 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.180 | $6.66 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | buy | 21 | $0.360 | $7.56 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.130 | $7.15 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.088 | $0.44 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.091 | $6.37 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.190 | $6.65 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.210 | $7.77 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 16 | $0.420 | $6.72 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.140 | $7.7 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 55 | $0.130 | $7.15 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.110 | $7.7 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.070 | $5.39 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.110 | $7.7 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.500 | $6.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.620 | $8.06 | Jul 30, 2026 |