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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.7 | $0.954 | $0.69 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.130 | $0.26 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 179 |
| $0.910 |
| $162.89 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 179 | $0.910 | $162.89 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 136 | $0.140 | $19.04 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 138 | $0.140 | $19.32 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 330 | $0.130 | $42.9 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 185 | $0.880 | $162.8 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 170 | $0.870 | $147.9 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 343 | $0.101 | $34.64 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.056 | $0.84 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 299 | $0.053 | $15.85 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 176 | $0.750 | $132 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 216 | $0.750 | $162 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 221 | $0.660 | $145.86 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 523 | $0.120 | $62.76 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 583 | $0.120 | $69.96 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 163 | $0.430 | $70.09 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 233 | $0.630 | $146.79 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.195 | $4.88 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 363 | $0.200 | $72.6 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 638 | $0.190 | $121.22 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 118 | $0.630 | $74.34 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 272 | $0.420 | $114.24 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 183 | $0.861 | $157.56 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 183 | $0.861 | $157.56 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 226 | $0.420 | $94.92 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 149 | $0.961 | $143.19 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 124 | $0.820 | $101.68 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.905 | $17.2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 165 | $0.870 | $143.55 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 165 | $0.870 | $143.55 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 159 | $0.988 | $157.09 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 150 | $0.954 | $143.1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 153 | $0.015 | $2.3 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 101 | $0.506 | $51.13 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.041 | $3.2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.300 | $25.8 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 177 | $0.490 | $86.73 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 199 | $0.700 | $139.3 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 160 | $0.956 | $152.96 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 213 | $0.043 | $9.16 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 139 | $0.978 | $135.94 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 89 | $0.989 | $88.02 | May 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.560 | $8.96 | May 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 146 | $0.560 | $81.76 | May 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 274 | $0.560 | $153.44 | May 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 274 | $0.560 | $153.44 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 141 | $0.989 | $139.45 | May 29, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 167 | $0.924 | $154.31 | May 29, 2026 |