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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ukraine election called in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.680 | $1.05 | Feb 16, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 1.46 |
| $0.700 |
| $1.02 |
| Feb 6, 2025 |
Trudeau out before April?Yes | buy | 0.2 | $0.700 | $0.14 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025?Yes | buy | 0.47 | $0.320 | $0.15 | Dec 11, 2024 |
Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?No | buy | 0.05 | $0.390 | $0.02 | Dec 9, 2024 |
Will 3+ Trump cabinet picks fail to get appointed?Yes | buy | 0.52 | $0.310 | $0.16 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Will the Social Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?No | buy | 0.16 | $0.690 | $0.11 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Will Trump tweet less than 10 times Nov 15-22?Yes | buy | 0.13 | $0.310 | $0.04 | Nov 18, 2024 |
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?No | buy | 0.29 | $0.510 | $0.15 | Nov 16, 2024 |
Will Binance list another Pump.fun coin in November?No | buy | 0.12 | $0.330 | $0.04 | Nov 12, 2024 |
Will Trump nominate Doug Burgum for Interior Secretary?Yes | buy | 0.21 | $0.380 | $0.08 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Will the Inter Miami win the 2024 MLS Cup?Yes | buy | 0.36 | $0.420 | $0.15 | Oct 24, 2024 |
Will someone else win the Nobel prize in literature?Yes | buy | 0.18 | $0.390 | $0.07 | Oct 9, 2024 |
Will the New York Yankees win the American League?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.500 | $0.02 | Oct 3, 2024 |
Will Beeple's Everyday feature SBF and Diddy today?No | buy | 0.09 | $0.890 | $0.08 | Sep 24, 2024 |
Pershing Square IPO in 2024?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.750 | $0.03 | Sep 3, 2024 |
Will Washington's anti-carbon cap initiative pass?No | buy | 0.35 | $0.540 | $0.19 | Aug 27, 2024 |
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?No | buy | 0.27 | $0.150 | $0.04 | Aug 25, 2024 |
Will Elon tweet less than 60 times?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.990 | $0.02 | Aug 24, 2024 |
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the US Open?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.990 | $0.01 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Speed/Kai beat Minecraft on 41st attempt?No | buy | 0.06 | $0.999 | $0.06 | Aug 22, 2024 |
Will Republicans have fewer than 200 seats in House after election?No | buy | 0.11 | $0.920 | $0.1 | Aug 19, 2024 |
Will Josh Jacobs be the top Fantasy Running Back?No | buy | 0.05 | $0.989 | $0.05 | Aug 14, 2024 |
August temperature increase by less than 1.15°C?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.981 | $0.02 | Aug 14, 2024 |
EDL declared terrorist org in August?No | buy | 0.06 | $0.969 | $0.06 | Aug 11, 2024 |
Will Trump lead by 1 or more points on August 16?No | buy | 0.14 | $0.997 | $0.14 | Aug 11, 2024 |
Taylor Swift cancels more tour dates in August?No | buy | 0.19 | $0.950 | $0.18 | Aug 10, 2024 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 0.11 | $0.983 | $0.11 | Aug 6, 2024 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 0.11 | $0.982 | $0.11 | Aug 6, 2024 |
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 0.13 | $0.896 | $0.12 | Aug 3, 2024 |
Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 0.12 | $0.858 | $0.1 | Aug 1, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | sell | 615.17 | $0.998 | $613.94 | Jul 24, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 615.18 | $0.999 | $614.56 | Jul 24, 2024 |