Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 31 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 124 daily closes on record from 31 Aug 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 53.5% on 1 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 23.5% on 2 Sep 2024. $41.55K traded over the market's life.
82 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 9:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 124 points, 31 Aug 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2024 | 38.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| predictoooooor-700 | Yes | 1.5K |
| kingfisher | Yes | 461.31 |
| Bold Kestrel 6D1D | Yes | 77.84 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pershing Square USA completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock Pershing Square USA to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Pershing Square merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pershing-square-ipo-in-2024
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 49.02 |
| meowmix1 | No | 15.38 |
| kuurww | Yes | 10 |
| GGS | Yes | 9.62 |
| zoomer-499 | Yes | 2.33 |
| Sham | No | 1.16 |
| blessingy | Yes | 0.8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
