Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | No | 30 | $0.984 | $29.78 | +$0.26 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 10.66 | $0.421 | $4.49 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.917 |
| $18.25 |
| -$0.09 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20 | $0.500 | $4.85 | -$5.15 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 15 | $0.500 | $0.98 | -$6.53 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.850 |
| $17 |
| Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 16.85 | $0.926 | $15.6 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.899 | $22.48 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.870 | $26.1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 30 | $0.941 | $28.23 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.971 | $19.42 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.984 | $29.52 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.840 | $7 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 19 - January 25 be less than 14,250,000?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 26, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.988 | $5.93 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 16.85 | $0.890 | $15 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 20 | $0.977 | $19.54 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 20 | $0.917 | $18.34 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.917 | $18.34 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 22 | $0.982 | $21.6 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.23 | $0.985 | $15 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 22 | $0.928 | $20.42 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.855 | $15 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 15 | $0.980 | $14.7 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by December 31?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.987 | $6.17 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 21 | $0.989 | $20.77 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.984 | $19.68 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 21 | $0.989 | $20.77 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will New Zealand win?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.969 | $9.69 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 26 | $0.974 | $25.32 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Giants vs. PatriotsPatriots | buy | 20 | $0.970 | $19.4 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will New Zealand win?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.86 | $0.880 | $11.32 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.991 | $29.73 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 21 | $0.970 | $20.37 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Western Michigan vs. Eastern MichiganWestern Michigan | buy | 25 | $0.930 | $23.25 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.971 | $19.42 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 30.5 | $0.981 | $29.92 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $270 in November?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.960 | $20 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10.66 | $0.938 | $10 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 17.05 | $0.880 | $15 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 15.96 | $0.940 | $15 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Mariners vs. Blue JaysMariners | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-10-19?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?No | sell | 21.98 | $0.998 | $21.94 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 71.08 | $0.969 | $68.88 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.87 | $0.830 | $10.68 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes | sell | 5.8 | $0.964 | $5.59 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.968 | $5 | Oct 16, 2025 |