Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 65.5% on 12 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 65.5% on 12 Nov 2025 and the low 0.1% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 25% on 5 Feb 2026. $15.05K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 11:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 211 points · 12 Nov 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2025 | 65.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-cities-will-waymo-launch-in-by-june-30
| mhp | Yes | 100 |
| 40pt | Yes | 100 |
| depeer | Yes | 72.35 |
| voenkommog | Yes | 23.12 |
| pmaker | Yes | 13.74 |
| magicbed | Yes | 13.71 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 10 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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