Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 813.22 | $0.086 | $31.72 | -$37.86 |
 StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.33 | $0.018 | $1.05 | May 16, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 46.89 |
| $0.022 |
| $1.48 |
| +$0.44 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 86.85 | $0.034 | $0.61 | -$2.36 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 98.68 | $0.014 | $0.49 | -$0.89 |
| StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? | Yes | 13.84 | $0.008 | $0.37 | +$0.26 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 2.3 | $0.100 | $0.31 | +$0.08 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | Yes | 4.66 | $0.080 | $0.28 | -$0.09 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 0.93 | $0.360 | $0.27 | -$0.07 |
 Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 55.26 | $0.019 | $0.25 | -$0.8 |
 Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 10.38 | $0.036 | $0.22 | -$0.15 |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 105 | $0.010 | $0.16 | -$0.89 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | Yes | 1.58 | $0.100 | $0.11 | -$0.05 |
 Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 80.76 | $0.013 | $0.08 | -$0.95 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 48.43 | $0.007 | $0.07 | -$0.27 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 1.51 | $0.100 | $0.06 | -$0.09 |
 Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 105 | $0.010 | $0.05 | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 87.5 | $0.012 | $0.04 | -$1.01 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 6.17 | $0.023 | $0.04 | -$0.1 |
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 1 | $0.050 | $0.04 | -$0.01 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 65.62 | $0.012 | $0.03 | -$0.77 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.12 | $0.016 | $0.03 | -$0.16 |
 Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? | Yes | 24.57 | $0.008 | $0.02 | -$0.17 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.96 | $0.020 | $0.02 | -$0.06 |
 Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 39.29 | $0.009 | $0.02 | -$0.33 |
 Yoon out of custody before 2027? | Yes | 0.24 | $0.087 | $0.02 | -$0 |
| sell |
| 47.69 |
| $0.021 |
| $1 |
| May 16, 2026 |
 Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?Yes | buy | 58.33 | $0.018 | $1.05 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in May 2026?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.007 | $0.68 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.015 | $1.05 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.008 | $0.16 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | sell | 45.65 | $0.023 | $1.05 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 43.75 | $0.022 | $0.96 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 43.75 | $0.025 | $1.09 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 43.75 | $0.022 | $0.96 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 43.75 | $0.024 | $1.05 | May 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.05 | $0.021 | $0.42 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?No | sell | 140 | $0.009 | $1.26 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?No | buy | 43.75 | $0.023 | $1.01 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 47.72 | $0.022 | $1.05 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.64 | $0.022 | $0.21 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | sell | 41.29 | $0.024 | $0.99 | May 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.72 | $0.022 | $1.05 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in May 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.014 | $1.05 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?Yes | buy | 56.75 | $0.016 | $0.91 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.021 | $1.05 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 16?Yes | sell | 61.76 | $0.014 | $0.86 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 16?Yes | buy | 61.76 | $0.012 | $0.74 | May 14, 2026 |
| Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?Yes | sell | 48.18 | $0.020 | $0.96 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 65.62 | $0.012 | $0.8 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Rick Devens win Survivor Season 50?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.011 | $0.68 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?Yes | sell | 37.5 | $0.030 | $1.14 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 11-17?Yes | sell | 59 | $0.014 | $0.83 | May 13, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.011 | $0.22 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?No | sell | 52.5 | $0.033 | $1.73 | May 13, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 80.76 | $0.012 | $0.97 | May 13, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?Yes | buy | 47.72 | $0.022 | $1.05 | May 13, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes | sell | 43.75 | $0.026 | $1.14 | May 13, 2026 |
| Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?Yes | buy | 55.26 | $0.019 | $1.05 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?Yes | buy | 43.75 | $0.024 | $1.05 | May 13, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by May 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.015 | $0.22 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 95.45 | $0.009 | $0.86 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 95.45 | $0.011 | $1.05 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 55.26 | $0.016 | $0.88 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 19.07 | $0.031 | $0.59 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?Yes | sell | 65.63 | $0.016 | $1.05 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 14?Yes | buy | 43.75 | $0.024 | $1.05 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 15?No | buy | 47.72 | $0.020 | $0.94 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 45.65 | $0.023 | $1.05 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 80.76 | $0.013 | $1.03 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?No | buy | 95.45 | $0.006 | $0.56 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.020 | $0.42 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Yes | sell | 47.72 | $0.022 | $1.05 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 15?No | sell | 44.52 | $0.029 | $1.27 | May 12, 2026 |