Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 900.73 | $0.913 | $882.72 | +$60.04 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes | buy | 121.46 | $0.971 | $117.94 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 163.3 |
| $0.643 |
| $141.26 |
| +$36.24 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.745 | $99 | -$50 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? | No | 59.53 | $0.810 | $56.29 | +$8.07 |
 Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 200 | $0.770 | $45 | -$109.06 |
 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | No | 17.39 | $0.920 | $16.93 | +$0.93 |
 Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B? | No | 6.79 | $0.317 | $6.35 | +$4.19 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 5 | $0.760 | $4.73 | +$0.93 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | Yes | 45.24 | $0.180 | $2.69 | -$5.45 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | Yes | 7.44 | $0.825 | $1.23 | -$4.91 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.23 | $0.190 | $0.61 | +$0.38 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 3.35 | $0.410 | $0.25 | -$1.12 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 0.89 | $0.270 | $0.06 | -$0.18 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 0.18 | $0.130 | $0 | -$0.02 |
| buy |
| 113.12 |
| $0.996 |
| $112.67 |
| Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.900 | $270 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 258.56 | $0.963 | $248.97 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Ethena dip to $0.20 in November?Yes | sell | 22.9 | $0.008 | $0.18 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds in 2025?Yes | sell | 95.28 | $0.090 | $8.58 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | sell | 192.22 | $0.060 | $11.53 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% in 2025?Yes | sell | 107.14 | $0.110 | $11.79 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31?Yes | sell | 184.89 | $0.078 | $14.43 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will None in 2025 occur?No | sell | 144.97 | $0.110 | $15.99 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?Yes | sell | 144.84 | $0.073 | $10.6 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Gainzy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?Yes | sell | 133 | $0.080 | $10.64 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 101.66 | $0.176 | $17.89 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.070 | $14.09 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will BBB be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 299.99 | $0.054 | $16.1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Yes | sell | 131.5 | $0.230 | $30.25 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 61.01 | $0.560 | $34.17 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Tom Lee mindshare all time high by March 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.419 | $41.88 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 148.52 | $0.367 | $54.47 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.420 | $84 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?Yes | sell | 185.99 | $0.464 | $86.29 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Tech Release ParlayYes | sell | 34 | $0.040 | $1.36 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 39.99 | $0.260 | $10.4 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 357.48 | $0.030 | $10.72 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | sell | 53.6 | $0.014 | $0.75 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?No | sell | 79 | $0.050 | $3.95 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.26 | $0.080 | $0.98 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be 42.0–43.9% on December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.025 | $5 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?No | sell | 5.47 | $0.750 | $4.1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Pakistan strike on India by November 30?Yes | sell | 199.44 | $0.008 | $1.6 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 103.8 | $0.580 | $60.2 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.220 | $5.72 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 196.06 | $0.018 | $3.53 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Chainlink reach $20 in November?Yes | sell | 5.44 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 56.3 | $0.590 | $33.22 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.81 | $0.460 | $6.81 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No | sell | 21 | $0.670 | $14.07 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No | sell | 21 | $0.660 | $13.86 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Lecornu out as French PM by November 30?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.010 | $0.15 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.08 | $0.050 | $0.3 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of November?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) close above $270 end of November?No | sell | 105.24 | $0.001 | $0.11 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by November 30?Yes | sell | 70.72 | $0.009 | $0.64 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.340 | $34 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No | sell | 26.93 | $0.670 | $18.04 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31?Yes | sell | 17.02 | $0.080 | $1.36 | Nov 27, 2025 |