Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 349.01 | $0.890 | $326.32 | +$15.71 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 56.98 | $0.971 | $55.33 | Dec 3, 2025 |
|
| No |
| 22.46 |
| $0.679 |
| $20.24 |
| +$4.99 |
 Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | No | 20.46 | $0.640 | $17.7 | +$4.6 |
 Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 58.81 | $0.779 | $13.23 | -$32.58 |
 Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 6.07 | $0.480 | $4.83 | +$1.91 |
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 11.57 | $0.915 | $4.4 | -$6.19 |
 Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 4.55 | $0.780 | $4.18 | +$0.63 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | No | 3.46 | $0.710 | $3.23 | +$0.78 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.670 | $2.96 | +$0.93 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 2.88 | $0.653 | $2.64 | +$0.75 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | No | 2.5 | $0.600 | $2.4 | +$0.9 |
 Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 0.89 | $0.840 | $0.82 | +$0.07 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.11 | $0.390 | $0.62 | -$0.2 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | Yes | 1.89 | $0.490 | $0.56 | -$0.37 |
 Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch? | Yes | 2.11 | $0.600 | $0.34 | -$0.93 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4 | $0.746 | $0.22 | -$2.77 |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? | Yes | 6 | $0.340 | $0.18 | -$1.86 |
 Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? | Yes | 0.44 | $0.320 | $0.02 | -$0.12 |
| buy |
| 60.46 |
| $0.964 |
| $58.28 |
| Dec 3, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?Yes | sell | 56.82 | $0.080 | $4.55 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Bournemouth finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes | sell | 65.68 | $0.032 | $2.1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?No | sell | 34.55 | $0.066 | $2.27 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?No | sell | 14.58 | $0.170 | $2.48 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?Yes | sell | 28.53 | $0.080 | $2.28 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?Yes | sell | 67.3 | $0.022 | $1.48 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 7.01 | $0.360 | $2.52 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?Yes | sell | 5.11 | $0.420 | $2.15 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.420 | $6.3 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | sell | 19.84 | $0.090 | $1.79 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 25.99 | $0.580 | $15.07 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Democrats win five elections in Nov?No | sell | 23.99 | $0.004 | $0.1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?No | sell | 46.99 | $0.380 | $17.86 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.81 | $0.390 | $2.66 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Zohran Mamdani ParlayYes | sell | 54.52 | $0.012 | $0.65 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Ukraine strike in Russia on 28 November 2025?No | sell | 5.99 | $0.020 | $0.12 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Bank of England rate cut in 2025?No | sell | 16.52 | $0.030 | $0.5 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?No | sell | 18.06 | $0.900 | $16.25 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.08 | $0.170 | $2.39 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 18.09 | $0.660 | $11.94 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?Yes | sell | 53.34 | $0.150 | $8 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 John Brennan federally charged by December 31?Yes | sell | 39.96 | $0.130 | $5.19 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| John Brennan federally charged by December 31?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.140 | $2 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.100 | $1.5 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.780 | $11.7 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?No | sell | 6.32 | $0.790 | $4.99 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Independent Game at the 2025 Game Awards?No | sell | 11.1 | $0.260 | $2.89 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2025?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.340 | $17.68 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?No | sell | 23.2 | $0.040 | $0.93 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 10.99 | $0.290 | $3.19 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Trump's Christmas Wishlist ParlayYes | sell | 6.04 | $0.120 | $0.72 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 30 | $0.150 | $4.5 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?No | sell | 28 | $0.955 | $26.74 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 11.95 | $0.640 | $7.65 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 10.66 | $0.310 | $3.3 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Infrared launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes | sell | 20.99 | $0.730 | $15.32 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.73 | $0.170 | $1.31 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.280 | $4.2 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?Yes | sell | 25.99 | $0.050 | $1.3 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 29.61 | $0.520 | $15.4 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Paul Mescal win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 20.13 | $0.820 | $16.51 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Paul Mescal win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 15 | $0.830 | $12.45 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 46.76 | $0.170 | $7.95 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?No | sell | 2.66 | $0.023 | $0.06 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?No | sell | 10 | $0.025 | $0.25 | Dec 1, 2025 |