Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 490 | $0.770 | $471.63 | +$94.33 |
 Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Portland" during the State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.120 | $0.48 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 183.38 |
| $0.610 |
| $22.92 |
| -$88.94 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 9.3 | $0.870 | $8.6 | +$0.51 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.490 | $8.5 | -$1.3 |
 Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | No | 4.93 | $0.910 | $4.8 | +$0.31 |
 Don Lemon sentenced to prison? | Yes | 69.99 | $0.100 | $3.32 | -$3.67 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 4.31 | $0.170 | $0.62 | -$0.11 |
| sell |
| 2.04 |
| $0.509 |
| $1.04 |
| Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.011 | $0.03 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 3.48 | $0.700 | $2.44 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | sell | 49 | $0.440 | $21.56 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | sell | 2.68 | $0.430 | $1.15 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 663.59 | $0.965 | $640.36 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.860 | $1.38 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.270 | $13.5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?No | sell | 81.27 | $0.012 | $1.01 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?No | sell | 56.54 | $0.931 | $52.64 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 102.96 | $0.704 | $72.48 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 43 | $0.130 | $5.59 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of February?No | buy | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.87 | $0.320 | $10.84 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.940 | $28.2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No | sell | 9.86 | $0.590 | $5.82 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.370 | $11.1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 end of February?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.430 | $21.5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?No | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 131 | $0.930 | $121.83 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 4.84 | $0.400 | $1.94 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.78 | $0.462 | $2.21 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 119.59 | $0.541 | $64.71 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 6.8 | $0.680 | $4.62 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 73.98 | $0.610 | $45.13 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 90 | $0.400 | $36 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.97 | $0.611 | $30.53 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.640 | $64 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.322 | $32.2 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 198.54 | $0.662 | $131.43 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 81.84 | $0.271 | $22.18 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 18.16 | $0.380 | $6.9 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.640 | $128.03 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?No | sell | 170 | $0.962 | $163.54 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 295.61 | $0.271 | $80.11 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 174.23 | $0.670 | $116.73 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.282 | $2.82 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.291 | $2.91 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 164.65 | $0.706 | $116.24 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No | sell | 142.85 | $0.880 | $125.71 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.56 | $0.760 | $37.67 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.771 | $11.57 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Feb 6, 2026 |