Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 84.5% on 8 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 201 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2026 to 14 Aug 2026 (18 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.9% on 14 Aug 2026 and the lowest 27% on 17 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 62.5% on 24 Feb 2026. $20.56K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 201 points, 8 Jan 2026 – 14 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | 84.5% |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crypto-Well | No | 1.69K |
| calm.rabbit | No | 761.05 |
| FrankyFourFingers | No | 368.96 |
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month. The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row. This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-venezuelan-crude-oil-production-reach-barrels-per-day-in-2026
| 48xsds | No | 332.62 |
| Roflan-ludoman | No | 254.48 |
| Worse-Scenario | No | 248.44 |
| Amber Orbit 1869 | No | 238.24 |
| MasonsConqueredRome | No | 236.68 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| LetMeBeYourValentine | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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