Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?

Name: Will Tim Walz resign by January 31? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No, settled Feb 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.2M

Resolved

Settled

Feb 1, 2026 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
jmarcafella	Yes	27.31K	4.5%	$1.22K
MissWonderfun	Yes	23.91K	1.7%	$402.51
NSGneverstopgambling	Yes	23.82K	3.3%	$779.97
Cosmic Kestrel 1C86	Yes	20.44K	1.1%	$230.95	Jan 27, 6:43 AM UTC
chivoexpiatorio	Yes	14.25K	1.9%	$266.31
TunaFishGR	Yes	13.88K	3.1%	$425.7
sb911	Yes	13.39K	1.5%	$202.75
Cobalt Pulse E49B	Yes	9.35K	0.8%	$74.98	Jan 27, 6:44 AM UTC
1fox	Yes	7.99K	3.7%	$292.86
Nihao93	Yes	7.54K	1.3%	$100
Vast-Anesthesiologist	Yes	7.3K	2.7%	$198.93
Composed-Burning	Yes	7.14K	0.7%	$50
publius2024	Yes	6.49K	3.4%	$220.96
littlekahuna	Yes	6.25K	1.6%	$99.99
CansGonzalez	Yes	5.25K	2.5%	$132
123z	Yes	4.65K	2.1%	$100
Black-Hospitalisation	Yes	3.35K	3.0%	$100
Fruitful-Dogwood	Yes	3.08K	3.2%	$100
MaeliB	Yes	2.83K	3.5%	$99
Odd-Punishment	Yes	2.78K	1.8%	$50
123asf	Yes	2.76K	2.0%	$54.94
timberwolf1021	Yes	2.73K	0.7%	$20
perck	Yes	2.47K	0.6%	$15
polimeerkat42	Yes	2.28K	3.3%	$75
Alwayszies	Yes	2K	5.0%	$100
Vioce	Yes	2K	1.7%	$34
Jealous-Shipper	Yes	2K	2.4%	$48
AshG	Yes	1.86K	3.1%	$58.49
Crimson Voyager 0B5F	Yes	1.76K	3.4%	$59.51
N0stradumba55	Yes	1.69K	0.3%	$5	Jan 26, 6:24 AM UTC
DudeRising	Yes	1.56K	1.9%	$30
Official-Discourse	Yes	1.52K	3.7%	$55.95
pro.crypto	Yes	1.5K	0.2%	$3	Jan 30, 9:10 AM UTC
Petty-Instinct	Yes	1.25K	1.6%	$20
MeowlLobstermann	Yes	1.18K	1.7%	$20
Unnatural-Alphabet	Yes	1.16K	4.3%	$50
FiddyFiddy	Yes	1.13K	1.8%	$20
mediaclown	Yes	1.08K	2.3%	$25
CheeseCutter	Yes	1.05K	1.9%	$20
cammerman	Yes	1.03K	2.4%	$25
jww1978	Yes	1.02K	0.3%	$3	Jan 26, 6:37 AM UTC
c12e01f2a13ff5587e1e9e4aedb8242d	Yes	1.01K	2.2%	$22
tcarti16	Yes	1K	0.7%	$7.01
Odd-Bedrock	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2	Jan 29, 9:47 PM UTC
Misty Oracle CD65	Yes	987.5	2.0%	$19.75
Envious-Fund-Adverb	Yes	888.82	3.4%	$30.09
LyonCross	Yes	883.9	3.0%	$27
Brief-Pug	Yes	865.09	0.6%	$5
mk3110	Yes	834.58	3.6%	$30
elon-yaps	Yes	727.2	2.5%	$17.84
Caspertheunfriendlyghost	Yes	714.29	2.8%	$20
jakeybaby	Yes	697.71	2.9%	$20
Nice-Risk	Yes	672.93	0.3%	$2	Jan 26, 1:54 PM UTC
web3-dot-0	Yes	660.35	2.0%	$13
MagaMagaMaga	Yes	645.16	3.1%	$20
terminal-test	Yes	584.37	2.1%	$12
Monumental-Shirtdress	Yes	560.5	1.8%	$10
Authorized-Hostel	Yes	545.45	1.1%	$6
chetmichael	Yes	526.64	1.9%	$10
fengyazhai	Yes	505.03	0.4%	$2	Jan 27, 12:19 PM UTC
Studious-Pedal	Yes	500	3.2%	$16
TENETENET	Yes	500	0.1%	$0.5
Traumatic-Fee	Yes	458.11	3.3%	$15.02
av0gs8d7	Yes	454	3.3%	$14.78
BaliCowboy	Yes	433.41	1.1%	$5
Ordinary-Chopstick	Yes	416.67	1.2%	$5
Strict-Bud	Yes	406.62	1.2%	$5
beelahkay	Yes	401.08	5.0%	$20
Exie	Yes	400	3.0%	$12
shadow115	Yes	373.94	0.6%	$2.24
ChilllTRD	Yes	361.58	2.8%	$10
Stimulating-Passing	Yes	357.14	2.8%	$10
OneBadAssChili	Yes	355	1.9%	$6.89
YukonCornelius	Yes	347.31	2.6%	$9
Troubled-Windshield	Yes	315.67	1.6%	$5
Flawless-Lunge	Yes	311.85	1.6%	$5
SMP	Yes	310.19	3.2%	$10
Tomegi	Yes	310	1.8%	$5.58
wizardsmagic	Yes	300.18	3.8%	$11.53
jmelamie	Yes	299.95	2.1%	$6.3
Solar Scout 92ED	Yes	294.12	1.7%	$5
Mags123	Yes	280	2.5%	$7
oak	Yes	278.83	1.0%	$2.81
Paintsius	Yes	277.78	1.8%	$5
GorDima	Yes	277.78	1.8%	$5
Rural-Incense	Yes	250	0.4%	$1	Jan 26, 9:19 AM UTC
sishigulairen	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
iloveithehe	Yes	250	1.2%	$3
d3t0	Yes	250	0.6%	$1.5
Mushy-Hemisphere	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
chtiout	Yes	249.99	0.4%	$1	Jan 26, 1:29 PM UTC
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	248	0.1%	$0.25
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	241.97	0.1%	$0.24
NormStormer	Yes	240.48	4.2%	$10
Ethtakes	Yes	239.91	2.1%	$5
1000YEARREICH	Yes	235.32	4.2%	$10
Good-Suspect	Yes	232.56	4.3%	$10
Mabel501	Yes	228.09	2.1%	$4.79
WetCheetos	Yes	228.05	1.8%	$4
cajungroyper	Yes	227.27	3.3%	$7.5
Emerald Orbit 52EE	Yes	227.27	2.2%	$5
Rapid Scout 6B20	Yes	210.26	2.4%	$5
Blissful-Recording	Yes	203.38	1.5%	$3
TannGrows	Yes	200.01	2.5%	$5
Decimal-Injury	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
pisteq	Yes	200	3.0%	$6
Writhing-Thirst	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Aching-Configuration	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Frayed-Turn	Yes	190.96	2.2%	$4.15
newb42069	Yes	190	3.8%	$7.24
timswww	Yes	188.69	1.3%	$2.49
Cyberdude	Yes	178.57	2.8%	$5
Impeccable-Going	Yes	176.47	1.7%	$3
Vacant-Abbey	Yes	175.04	0.6%	$1
Detailed-Bias	Yes	167.86	3.0%	$5
imjustgambling	Yes	167.08	3.0%	$5
Trim-Colonization	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
glubber	Yes	161.89	3.1%	$5
Snoring	Yes	160	3.3%	$5.28
Winding-Experimentation	Yes	150.04	0.7%	$1	Jan 26, 2:19 PM UTC
Itachi-Varahi	Yes	150.04	0.7%	$1
Old-Ox	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Focused-Quiet	Yes	133.33	1.5%	$2
Muted-Monger	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
Bold Scout BD7E	Yes	116	0.1%	$0.12
joebniden	Yes	113	9.3%	$10.51
irinanitu	Yes	109.67	4.5%	$5
oneagainstthree	Yes	108.7	4.6%	$5
derlykk	Yes	105.95	0.9%	$1
Impure-Contour	Yes	105.3	3.9%	$4.15
Olu25	Yes	103.53	1.7%	$1.76
dudediligence	Yes	100	2.8%	$2.75
Crisp-Stimulus	Yes	100	1.5%	$1.5
Rural-Electricity	Yes	98.55	2.4%	$2.37
Spherical-Speedboat	Yes	97.86	2.0%	$2
Oval-Eligibility	Yes	90.91	1.1%	$1
Vandelay.Industries	Yes	90	3.3%	$2.94
Adored-Necktie	Yes	83.33	1.2%	$1
Sentimental-Menu	Yes	79.12	1.8%	$1.42
Total-Matchmaker	Yes	76.92	1.3%	$1
Feline-Constraint	Yes	74.07	2.7%	$2
Crimson Vector F03A	Yes	74	0.1%	$0.07
LoraK	Yes	68.97	2.9%	$2
slamuh123	Yes	66.67	1.5%	$1
Basic-Manhunt	Yes	66.67	1.5%	$1
Saracens7	Yes	66.67	1.5%	$1
Jade Harbor B075	Yes	66	0.1%	$0.07
Functional-Biosphere	Yes	64.52	3.1%	$2
Jovial-Codon	Yes	62.5	1.6%	$1
itsSolo	Yes	62.5	1.6%	$1
bobo9a	Yes	62.5	1.6%	$1
Youthful-Armoire	Yes	60.23	1.7%	$1
JakeBeez	Yes	60	4.0%	$2.4
Impeccable-Heron	Yes	58.82	1.7%	$1
MSERRA	Yes	58.82	1.7%	$1
dinja123	Yes	58.82	1.7%	$1
Beat2chat23	Yes	55.67	1.8%	$1
Only-Chowder	Yes	55.56	1.8%	$1
Disguised-Parsnip	Yes	55.56	1.8%	$1
ElPredicto	Yes	52.63	1.9%	$1
Orderly-Prune	Yes	52.63	1.9%	$1
225522	Yes	52.63	1.9%	$1
trinitrotolueno	Yes	50.65	3.1%	$1.57
Bright Vector 99FB	Yes	50.33	2.0%	$1
test-go	Yes	50	1.0%	$0.5
sammieboy74	Yes	50	2.0%	$1
Yunobo	Yes	50	3.0%	$1.5
AsuraSmellsLikeASS	Yes	50	0.1%	$0.05
Violet Vector B233	Yes	49.99	2.2%	$1.1
RokoPoko	Yes	48.81	2.0%	$1
Irresponsible-Gammaray	Yes	45.45	2.2%	$1
fefaa	Yes	44.38	3.3%	$1.45
BlackTP	Yes	43.14	2.3%	$1
Nevergoingtohhappen	Yes	41.67	3.6%	$1.5
1-Dollar-N-Dream	Yes	41.67	2.4%	$1
mauro321	Yes	40	2.5%	$1
Feisty-Orientation	Yes	40	4.3%	$1.72
sonicfan	Yes	37.04	2.7%	$1
Bubbly-Bug	Yes	35.71	2.8%	$1
hermanlyn	Yes	35.34	2.8%	$1
Motionless-Triumph	Yes	34.48	2.9%	$1
ElChingon	Yes	33.33	3.0%	$1
Npf1	Yes	33	3.1%	$1.02
International-Pounding	Yes	32.26	3.1%	$1
Zeeqit	Yes	32.26	3.1%	$1
Blind-Airfield	Yes	30.3	3.3%	$1
Troika	Yes	30	3.4%	$1.02
vincentblack	Yes	28.57	3.5%	$1
Functional-Foreigner	Yes	27.78	3.6%	$1
MoneyMacP003	Yes	27.03	3.7%	$1
BoiledPotato	Yes	26.28	3.8%	$1
Govnetco	Yes	16.95	5.9%	$1
glouglou	Yes	15.38	6.5%	$1
triklozoid	Yes	14.99	0.1%	$0.01
Bright Signal 14DE	Yes	14	0.1%	$0.01
Royal Harbor 515E	No	6.12	98.1%	$6.01	Jan 31, 3:42 PM UTC
Misty Signal 9D44	No	5.2	97.8%	$5.09
Fitting-Batting	No	5.14	97.3%	$5
sfdasdvsdvsd4718552	Yes	4.98	0.1%	$0
SidRichard	No	2.04	98.0%	$2
RomanHerzberg	No	1.13	98.7%	$1.12
voterou	No	1.03	97.2%	$1
NoraSmollett	No	1.02	97.9%	$1
TonyJefferson	No	1.02	98.0%	$1
EdwinaTom	No	1.02	98.0%	$1
DuplantisArmand	No	1.02	98.2%	$1
CatherineVictor	No	1.02	98.2%	$1
LesterSaxton	No	1.02	98.2%	$1
KatherineBush	No	1.02	98.2%	$1
Neon Meteor C28A	No	0.97	98.0%	$0.95

210 of 210 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Royal Harbor 515E	$6.12
Misty Signal 9D44	$5.2
Fitting-Batting	$5.14

Analytics