Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?No | buy | 3.33K | $0.003 | $10 | May 21, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 944.33 |
| $0.011 |
| $10 |
| Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 61.83 | $0.060 | $3.71 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 46.95 | $0.003 | $0.14 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | sell | 28.32 | $0.003 | $0.08 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | sell | 10 | $0.007 | $0.07 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.004 | $0.07 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.024 | $0.08 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will 50PLUS be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 4.8 | $0.011 | $0.05 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes | sell | 21.27 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will BBB be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 30.17 | $0.002 | $0.06 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target Tehran?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.030 | $0.06 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.110 | $0.38 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.060 | $0.33 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.360 | $0.71 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.010 | $0.33 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.981 | $1.27 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 757.7 | $0.100 | $75.77 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.029 | $30 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 207.97 | $0.024 | $4.92 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 366.67 | $0.090 | $33 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 531.25 | $0.112 | $59.72 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.61K | $0.017 | $59.72 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 681.83 | $0.060 | $40.91 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 443.5 | $0.080 | $35.48 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.043 | $1.65 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 151.68 | $0.017 | $2.59 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?Yes | sell | 86.2 | $0.040 | $3.45 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.44 | $0.290 | $7.09 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | sell | 674.06 | $0.005 | $3.37 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.090 | $3.46 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 147.05 | $0.028 | $4.12 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.190 | $4.75 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 178.57 | $0.028 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.32K | $0.140 | $325.29 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | sell | 428.02 | $0.760 | $325.3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.45 | $0.470 | $11.49 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.098 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-14?Yes | sell | 124.68 | $0.044 | $5.49 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-14?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.32 | $0.220 | $12.17 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.100 | $30 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | sell | 625 | $0.008 | $5.25 | Jan 14, 2026 |