Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes | 150 | $0.060 | $6.68 | -$2.33 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?No | buy | 80 | $0.430 | $34.4 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.100 |
| $0.45 |
| -$1.55 |
| buy |
| 26.79 |
| $0.560 |
| $15 |
| Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 20.27 | $0.740 | $15 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Big Game: Coin TossTails | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Tax" or "Tariff" 7+ times during the announcement on Thursday?Yes | buy | 30.61 | $0.490 | $15 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETDown | buy | 4.85 | $0.460 | $2.23 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETUp | buy | 10.31 | $0.470 | $4.84 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?Yes | buy | 256.41 | $0.039 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 46.23 | $0.649 | $30 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?No | buy | 88.89 | $0.450 | $40 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 86.95 | $0.740 | $64.34 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | sell | 72.46 | $0.860 | $62.32 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?90k | buy | 48.84 | $0.430 | $21 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?Yes | sell | 30.64 | $0.999 | $30.61 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?Yes | buy | 30.65 | $0.620 | $19 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" in February?Yes | buy | 44.12 | $0.340 | $15 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in February?Yes | buy | 59.56 | $0.672 | $40 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike another country before 2027?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump attend UFC 325?Yes | buy | 504.06 | $0.010 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?Yes | sell | 83.7 | $0.964 | $80.7 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during the announcement on Thursday?Yes | buy | 52.77 | $0.474 | $25 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?Yes | buy | 83.7 | $0.478 | $40 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 86.96 | $0.460 | $40 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No | sell | 92.59 | $0.962 | $89.1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?Yes | buy | 201.94 | $0.050 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in March 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?Yes | buy | 31.18 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?Yes | buy | 146.86 | $0.034 | $5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will André Ventura win the second round?Yes | buy | 268.66 | $0.019 | $5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?No | buy | 59.52 | $0.420 | $25 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.300 | $25 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | buy | 72.46 | $0.690 | $50 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 208.7 | $0.956 | $199.55 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.012 | $1.93 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Bills vs. JaguarsJaguars | buy | 12.71 | $0.550 | $6.99 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.012 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?Yes | buy | 101.6 | $0.246 | $25 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |