Analytics
Will there be exactly 2 government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?
politicsActive
Closes Jan 1, 2028 UTC
Yes
31.5%
No
68.5%
Yes costs 31.5¢No costs 68.5¢
24h Volume
$3.8K
Total volume
$3.8K
Liquidity
$9.3K
Closes
Jan 1, 2028 UTC
Topic roomGovernment shutdown
Where it stands
Yes is at 31.5%, about where the market opened on 6 Nov 2026.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the price held at 31.5%. A week before that last close Yes was at 31.5%.
2 ranks second of the 4 outcomes in “How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?”. 1 leads at 36%; 0 is at 19.5%.
Across the latest 50 trades, $555.1 bought Yes and $635.53 bought No.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:07 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 6 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 26%–38%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2026 | 31.5% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 31.5% |
All outcomes
How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?
- 11$6.05K traded36.0%
- 22This market$3.79K traded31.5%
- 30
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AiBird | Yes | 817.32 |
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 532.55 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 199.99 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on a consensus of credible reporting. Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in Government shutdown
- The date in the last stopgap law, which sets the next deadline
- Whether 60 senators will vote to end debate on a funding bill
- Disputes attached to funding: spending levels, health subsidies, immigration enforcement