Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 9 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 104 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 20 Oct 2026, the highest close was 52.5% on 1 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 2.6% on 2 Sep 2026. $10.45K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 20, 10:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 104 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 44.5% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.29K |
| singularityman | Yes | 434 |
| Huye168 | Yes | 333 |
This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026. Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-uk-parliamentary-by-elections-in-2026-20260708164636512
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 150 |
| ivanzolo2004 | Yes | 103 |
| Crimson Summit 6D33 | Yes | 100 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 64.91 |
| Swift Meteor 30F2 | Yes | 60 |
| Bodytobody | Yes | 53 |
| luisotavio0312 | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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