Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.3%. Yes opened at 47% on 4 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 216 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2026 to 24 Sep 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 96.3% on 24 Sep 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 6 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 48% on 7 May 2026. $7.99K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 9:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 216 points, 4 Feb 2026 – 24 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | 47.0% |
| 24 Sep 2026 | 96.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dr.PNL | No | 246.6 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| lissartter | No | 40.63 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-30-year-mortgage-rate-hit-in-2026
| ghorrock | No | 28.38 |
| ViscaElBarca | No | 20 |
| Rain-Prob-01 | No | 16.66 |
| colorfultortise11 | No | 15 |
| gavinfunda | No | 15 |
| TENETENET | No | 10 |
| ngok996 | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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