Analytics
Yes is at 52.5%, up 26 points from 26.5% when the market opened on 28 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026, the highest close was 57% on 29 Oct 2026 and the lowest 26.5% on 28 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 57% on 29 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?”.
$20 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.26K since listing. The order book holds $99.41, with a 37.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 58 trades, $172.47 bought Yes and $259.45 bought No.
The largest Yes position is t90v2ndbg0v with 60 shares; the largest No position is Haradwaith with 33.
Trading closes on 15 Jan 2027, 77 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 28 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 26.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 52.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| t90v2ndbg0v | Yes | 60 |
| Haradwaith | No | 33.44 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 30.89 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-30-year-mortgage-rate-hit-in-2026
| Scoopdewhoop |
| Yes |
| 8.11 |
| financegaaaydog | No | 6 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 5.12 |
| xixihaha009 | Yes | 4.72 |
| locoxico | Yes | 2.23 |
| Cosmic Beacon 5793 | Yes | 2 |
| bechamel | No | 1.37 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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