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Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jul 24, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

No

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$81.4K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jul 24, 2026 UTC

TradesThe most recent trades, newest first.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
yougotme	buy	Yes	99.9%	4.73K	Jul 24, 4:58 PM UTC
99cbets	buy	Yes	99.9%	20K	Jul 24, 4:56 PM UTC
yougotme	buy	Yes	99.9%	24.43K	Jul 24, 4:56 PM UTC
Cobalt Horizon 992B	buy	Yes	99.9%	2.5	Jul 24, 4:55 PM UTC
Sugary-Driveway-Brownie	buy	Yes	99.9%	20.02	Jul 24, 4:55 PM UTC
The-Joker	buy	Yes	99.9%	5K	Jul 24, 4:55 PM UTC
99cbets	buy	Yes	99.8%	1.56K	Jul 24, 4:54 PM UTC
Gleaming-Pear	buy	Yes	99.8%	4.8K	Jul 24, 4:53 PM UTC
Gleaming-Pear	buy	Yes	99.7%	6.16K	Jul 24, 4:53 PM UTC
Cobalt Horizon 992B	buy	Yes	99.8%	2.51	Jul 24, 4:52 PM UTC
The-Joker	buy	Yes	99.7%	5.67K	Jul 24, 4:52 PM UTC
Fickle-Mission	buy	Yes	99.4%	1.01	Jul 24, 3:14 PM UTC
ChadStarmer	buy	Yes	99.3%	100	Jul 24, 2:40 PM UTC
Cobalt Horizon 992B	buy	Yes	99.2%	1.76	Jul 24, 1:50 PM UTC
Parz1vaI	buy	Yes	99.1%	227.8	Jul 24, 1:50 PM UTC
trrr12	buy	Yes	99.2%	1.25	Jul 24, 1:50 PM UTC
Cosmic Atlas EADA	buy	Yes	99.2%	30.24	Jul 24, 1:50 PM UTC
Smug-Skating	buy	No	2.6%	386.32	Jul 24, 1:39 PM UTC
kailiang224	sell	Yes	97.2%	1	Jul 24, 10:35 AM UTC
Jade Pioneer F22C	sell	Yes	97.2%	3.01	Jul 24, 10:24 AM UTC
Bold Signal F4AD	sell	Yes	97.2%	3.01	Jul 24, 10:24 AM UTC
Bold Signal F4AD	buy	Yes	99.4%	1.01	Jul 24, 10:23 AM UTC
Jade Pioneer F22C	buy	Yes	99.4%	1.01	Jul 24, 10:23 AM UTC
Bold Signal F4AD	buy	Yes	99.4%	1.01	Jul 24, 10:22 AM UTC
Jade Pioneer F22C	buy	Yes	99.4%	1.01	Jul 24, 10:22 AM UTC
Bold Signal F4AD	buy	Yes	99.4%	1.01	Jul 24, 10:22 AM UTC
Jade Pioneer F22C	buy	Yes	99.4%	1.01	Jul 24, 10:22 AM UTC
kailiang224	buy	Yes	99.4%	1.01	Jul 24, 10:06 AM UTC
Jade Maven 673E	sell	Yes	97.2%	3.01	Jul 24, 9:27 AM UTC
Azure Raven CFC8	sell	Yes	97.2%	3.01	Jul 24, 9:27 AM UTC
Jade Maven 673E	buy	Yes	99.4%	1.01	Jul 24, 9:26 AM UTC
Azure Raven CFC8	buy	Yes	99.4%	1.01	Jul 24, 9:26 AM UTC
Jade Maven 673E	buy	Yes	99.4%	1.01	Jul 24, 9:26 AM UTC
Azure Raven CFC8	buy	Yes	99.4%	1.01	Jul 24, 9:26 AM UTC
Azure Raven CFC8	buy	Yes	99.4%	1.01	Jul 24, 9:25 AM UTC
Jade Maven 673E	buy	Yes	99.4%	1.01	Jul 24, 9:25 AM UTC
djbbb	buy	No	2.9%	800	Jul 24, 7:11 AM UTC
Golden Harbor 30C3	sell	Yes	97.1%	3.02	Jul 24, 6:45 AM UTC
Golden Harbor 30C3	buy	Yes	99.3%	3.02	Jul 24, 6:44 AM UTC
ICTRADING	buy	Yes	96.9%	23	Jul 24, 6:23 AM UTC
Dyzoola	buy	No	3.1%	10	Jul 24, 4:50 AM UTC
Lunar Quasar 7880	sell	Yes	96.8%	3	Jul 24, 1:39 AM UTC
Lunar Quasar 7880	buy	Yes	99.7%	1	Jul 24, 1:38 AM UTC
Lunar Quasar 7880	buy	Yes	99.7%	1	Jul 24, 1:38 AM UTC
Lunar Quasar 7880	buy	Yes	99.7%	1	Jul 24, 1:38 AM UTC
sippingcoffee	buy	Yes	99.6%	32.1	Jul 23, 9:06 PM UTC
Joneshulksmash	buy	No	2.1%	285.59	Jul 23, 8:47 PM UTC
Novaaant	buy	Yes	99.5%	36.47	Jul 23, 11:49 AM UTC
Novaaant	buy	Yes	99.6%	45.6	Jul 23, 11:49 AM UTC
winrina	buy	Yes	99.6%	54.4	Jul 22, 9:18 PM UTC
.brain.	sell	Yes	96.5%	8.33	Jul 21, 10:29 PM UTC
IKOKOKOKOKO	sell	No	0.7%	27.77	Jul 21, 1:44 PM UTC
IKOKOKOKOKO	buy	No	3.6%	27.78	Jul 21, 8:32 AM UTC
SPY-KT	buy	No	2.1%	235.56	Jul 20, 4:46 PM UTC
Ivory Vector 6EAC	buy	No	2.0%	50	Jul 20, 4:10 AM UTC
balthazar	buy	No	2.0%	60	Jul 20, 4:10 AM UTC
thoodr	buy	Yes	98.5%	150	Jul 20, 2:49 AM UTC
SPY-KT	buy	No	3.5%	1.43K	Jul 20, 1:57 AM UTC
zk1984	buy	Yes	96.7%	13	Jul 19, 5:44 PM UTC
pye	buy	No	3.3%	20	Jul 19, 4:07 PM UTC

60 of the 124 most recent trades.Subscribers can pull the full trade history where Vultax has archived it.