Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 6.49K | $0.744 | $5.74K | +$912.99 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No | buy | 219.93 | $0.337 | $74.13 | 2h ago |
 |
| No |
| 3.14K |
| $0.914 |
| $2.99K |
| +$118.27 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 3.53K | $0.412 | $2.01K | +$556.37 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | No | 2.14K | $0.814 | $1.92K | +$173.45 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 4.6K | $0.301 | $1.62K | +$231.73 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | No | 1.76K | $0.624 | $1.36K | +$266.57 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | No | 1.64K | $0.497 | $1.2K | +$381.54 |
 Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2m? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.372 | $1.18K | +$735.95 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 1.86K | $0.679 | $975.04 | -$285.88 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | No | 1.79K | $0.277 | $741.51 | +$247.45 |
 Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | No | 414.96 | $0.630 | $404.17 | +$142.73 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 1.12K | $0.753 | $375.71 | -$468.4 |
 Will Trump nationalize elections? | No | 272.4 | $0.624 | $250.61 | +$80.59 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 587.87 | $0.544 | $246.9 | -$73.01 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 1.78K | $0.709 | $240.42 | -$1.02K |
 Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 302 | $0.606 | $197.81 | +$14.66 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 163.33 | $0.846 | $141.28 | +$3.05 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 400 | $0.355 | $12 | -$130 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 503.37 | $0.200 | $5.29 | -$95.39 |
| buy |
| 1.48K |
| $0.400 |
| $592.81 |
| 2h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 1.18K | $0.528 | $620.67 | 3h ago |
 Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 780 | $0.935 | $729.2 | 10h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 503.37 | $0.200 | $100.67 | 10h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.41K | $0.720 | $1.02K | 10h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | buy | 400 | $0.355 | $142 | 10h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 369.99 | $0.667 | $246.79 | 10h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.753 | $844.11 | 10h ago |
| Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 33.73 | $0.260 | $8.77 | 10h ago |
| Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 615 | $0.200 | $122.85 | 10h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 200 | $0.450 | $90 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 111.73 | $0.580 | $64.8 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 300 | $0.533 | $160 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.830 | $24.9 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | buy | 1.79K | $0.905 | $1.62K | 1d ago |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 302 | $0.606 | $183.15 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 811.81 | $0.600 | $487.09 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 642 | $0.580 | $372.36 | 2d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 261.25 | $0.120 | $31.35 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | buy | 768.15 | $0.600 | $460.89 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No | buy | 552.03 | $0.275 | $151.7 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 373.61 | $0.800 | $298.89 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | buy | 200 | $0.715 | $143 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.264 | $268.24 | 3d ago |
 Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 2 PlayoffsNRG | buy | 337.49 | $0.490 | $165.21 | 4d ago |
| Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 2 PlayoffsNRG | buy | 1.02K | $0.532 | $543.43 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | sell | 1.19K | $0.320 | $380.8 | 4d ago |
 Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?Yes | buy | 1.87K | $0.301 | $563.61 | 4d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | sell | 39.9 | $0.740 | $29.53 | 4d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 4d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.02K | $0.005 | $15.1 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 276.25 | $0.707 | $195.27 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.76K | $0.710 | $1.25K | 4d ago |
| Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2m?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.372 | $448.38 | 4d ago |
| Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?Yes | buy | 316.9 | $0.591 | $187.44 | 4d ago |
| Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?No | buy | 702 | $0.789 | $554.03 | 4d ago |
| Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?No | buy | 79.3 | $0.960 | $76.13 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 123.8 | $0.630 | $77.99 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 558.83 | $0.340 | $190 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.51K | $0.602 | $3.32K | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.96K | $0.999 | $1.96K | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.26K | $0.999 | $4.26K | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.3K | $0.997 | $18.24K | 5d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.99K | $0.999 | $13.98K | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.7K | $0.998 | $9.68K | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.926 | $968.08 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 75.82 | $0.820 | $62.17 | 5d ago |
 Will Jeff Beattie win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?Yes | buy | 227.31 | $0.910 | $206.85 | 5d ago |