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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 197.8 | $0.676 | $150.33 | +$16.69 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 3.62K | $0.321 | $1.16K | 9d ago |
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| Yes |
| 2.04K |
| $0.554 |
| $112.42 |
| -$1.02K |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 112.1 | $0.450 | $7.12 | -$43.3 |
| sell |
| 3.62K |
| $0.328 |
| $1.19K |
| 9d ago |
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 5.94K | $0.010 | $56.42 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 2.07K | $0.340 | $703.21 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 5.17K | $0.340 | $1.76K | Aug 2, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.91K | $0.660 | $2.58K | Jul 30, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.680 | $691.06 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.976 | $39.04 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.993 | $99.3 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.995 | $99.5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 305.12 | $0.579 | $176.71 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.040 | $28 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?Yes | buy | 452.06 | $0.020 | $9.04 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?Yes | buy | 5.97K | $0.009 | $53.72 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?Yes | buy | 10.75K | $0.006 | $64.49 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.55K | $0.600 | $1.53K | Jul 22, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.639 | $658.24 | Jul 21, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.520 | $780 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 107.83 | $0.048 | $5.15 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 431.35 | $0.048 | $20.57 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 203 | $0.013 | $2.64 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 483 | $0.034 | $16.42 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 216.19 | $0.031 | $6.77 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 437.99 | $0.013 | $5.71 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.02K | $0.940 | $1.9K | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?No | buy | 193.58 | $0.350 | $67.75 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 53 | $0.086 | $4.55 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 138.71 | $0.055 | $7.6 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | buy | 421.6 | $0.064 | $26.97 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?No | buy | 822.62 | $0.435 | $357.91 | Jul 16, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 43.03 | $0.004 | $0.17 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 3.01K | $0.937 | $2.82K | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 218.59 | $0.068 | $14.86 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 20.78 | $0.056 | $1.16 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 8K | $0.057 | $451.97 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 699.6 | $0.169 | $118.18 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 2.24K | $0.840 | $1.88K | Jul 6, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.76K | $0.260 | $1.24K | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.284 | $328.51 | Jul 2, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.330 | $379.27 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?No | buy | 794.18 | $0.250 | $198.55 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?No | buy | 144.32 | $0.236 | $34.04 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?No | buy | 136.38 | $0.213 | $29.09 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?No | buy | 320.36 | $0.188 | $60.28 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?No | buy | 441 | $0.188 | $82.81 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 185.56 | $0.087 | $16.17 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.109 | $3.28 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 84.19 | $0.100 | $8.39 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 197.8 | $0.676 | $133.63 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 178.96 | $0.260 | $46.53 | Jun 30, 2026 |