Question 1

What is the “Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Sep 16, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target…

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($30.49K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 51 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 93.7% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jul 30, 7:58 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-pausecutpause-in-the-next-three-decisions-junjulsep) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	55.39K	0.0%	$0
Tender-Series	Yes	10.13K	0.2%	$10.27K	Jul 6, 12:19 AM

Trader	Current holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$55.39K
Tender-Series	$0
Bigggggggg	$0
merod	$0
korda77	$0
Anon321321	$0
e46m3	$0
balthazar	$0
HerrieDavis	$0
Novus0rdoSeclorum	$0
GT2RShunter	$0
paspor	$0

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Questions about this market