Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 79.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, the highest close was 90.5% on 27 Sep 2026 and the lowest 34.5% on 23 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 80.5% on 25 Sep 2026. $6.27K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 23, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 4 Sep 2026 – 28 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Sep 2026 | 79.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dr.PNL | No | 580.66 |
| Green-Patriot | No | 200 |
| monoclith | No | 160 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-30-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027
| Puzzling-Refund | No | 65.79 |
| PPMT | No | 63.33 |
| rubby1337 | No | 50 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| shoobadooba18 | No | 34 |
| Scaly-Arena | No | 32.25 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 31.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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