Analytics
Yes is at 45% on Polymarket.
It is one of 8 markets under “How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?”.
$160 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $180 since listing. The order book holds $437.78, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 40 shares; the largest No position is johncashi with 20.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 70 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 2:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 45.0% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date from market creation to December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-30-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027
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