Analytics
Yes is at 70%, up 14 points from 56.5% when the market opened on 24 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 60% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 56.5% on 24 Oct 2026. The current quote, 70%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 60% on 27 Oct 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?”.
$478.77 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.82K since listing. The order book holds $142.97, with a 18.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 27 trades, $652.23 bought Yes and $225.54 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Violet Vector B233 with 990 shares; the largest No position is xtxpleasecallme with 387.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 9:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 24 Oct 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 52%–64%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 56.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 60.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violet Vector B233 | Yes | 990.01 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 387.22 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 300 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date from market creation to December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-30-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027
| GotGreenWood | No | 200 |
| nj23adsknml3 | No | 102 |
| alamedamemola | No | 77 |
| ranran22 | Yes | 57.22 |
| johncashi | No | 50 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 40 |
| mavsgseguritas | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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