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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? | No | 700 | $0.871 | $563.5 | -$46.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.690 | $1.46 | 9m ago |
| No |
| 565.28 |
| $0.803 |
| $414.35 |
| -$39.38 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | Yes | 966.89 | $0.396 | $343.25 | -$39.79 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 175 | $0.730 | $124.25 | -$3.5 |
 Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? | Yes | 195.01 | $0.645 | $113.1 | -$12.75 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 220 | $0.717 | $89.1 | -$68.57 |
 Will three people dissent the January Fed decision? | Yes | 300 | $0.377 | $85.5 | -$27.5 |
 Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | No | 115 | $0.781 | $81.08 | -$8.79 |
 Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | No | 98.99 | $0.907 | $76.42 | -$13.33 |
 Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? | No | 120 | $0.787 | $76.2 | -$18.2 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? | No | 97.06 | $0.831 | $75.17 | -$5.45 |
 Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 108 | $0.740 | $72.9 | -$7.02 |
 Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026? | No | 110 | $0.700 | $70.95 | -$6.05 |
 Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | No | 85 | $0.913 | $68.89 | -$8.71 |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? | No | 128.4 | $0.660 | $66.58 | -$18.21 |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 120 | $0.581 | $64.8 | -$4.97 |
 Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 114.76 | $0.660 | $63.69 | -$12.05 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | No | 104.96 | $0.640 | $63.5 | -$3.67 |
 Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 275.33 | $0.347 | $63.33 | -$32.12 |
 Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | No | 93 | $0.792 | $62.78 | -$10.86 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 118.91 | $0.587 | $61.24 | -$8.52 |
 Will SPD win between 10% and 13% of all valid second votes? | No | 140 | $0.570 | $60.9 | -$18.9 |
 Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | No | 119.92 | $0.569 | $57.8 | -$10.48 |
 Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? | No | 70 | $0.880 | $57.75 | -$3.85 |
 Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | No | 98.54 | $0.747 | $56.66 | -$16.92 |
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No| sell |
| 63 |
| $0.550 |
| $34.65 |
| 10m ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.440 | $19.8 | 10m ago |
 Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No | sell | 21.2 | $0.280 | $5.94 | 14m ago |
 Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?No | sell | 0.51 | $0.320 | $0.16 | 31m ago |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?Yes | sell | 0.2 | $0.300 | $0.06 | 46m ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?No | buy | 59.8 | $0.700 | $41.86 | 50m ago |
 Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?Yes | sell | 0.97 | $0.220 | $0.21 | 1h ago |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 25%-30%?No | buy | 6 | $0.780 | $4.68 | 1h ago |
| Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?No | buy | 22 | $0.770 | $16.94 | 1h ago |
 Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Yes | sell | 0.53 | $0.730 | $0.39 | 1h ago |
| Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?No | buy | 11 | $0.270 | $2.97 | 1h ago |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?No | sell | 30 | $0.040 | $1.2 | 1h ago |
 Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.780 | $27.3 | 1h ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | 1h ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?No | sell | 30.56 | $0.569 | $17.39 | 1h ago |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?No | buy | 60 | $0.590 | $35.4 | 1h ago |
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?Yes | sell | 8.19 | $0.961 | $7.87 | 1h ago |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?No | buy | 71.79 | $0.038 | $2.73 | 1h ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.410 | $49.2 | 1h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 0.24 | $0.430 | $0.1 | 2h ago |
 Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | 2h ago |
 Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 108 | $0.640 | $69.12 | 2h ago |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.170 | $16.15 | 2h ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | 2h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 10?Yes | buy | 25.25 | $0.455 | $11.5 | 2h ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | 2h ago |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 0.69 | $0.640 | $0.44 | 2h ago |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 11, 2026?No | sell | 0.81 | $0.680 | $0.55 | 2h ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 3 | $0.360 | $1.08 | 2h ago |
| Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 19.05 | $0.740 | $14.1 | 2h ago |
| Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 40 | $0.750 | $30 | 2h ago |
| Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | 2h ago |
| Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 19 | $0.750 | $14.25 | 2h ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | 2h ago |
| Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 50 | $0.774 | $38.7 | 3h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 10?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.390 | $0.01 | 3h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 10?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.610 | $4.88 | 3h ago |
 Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?No | sell | 14.08 | $0.750 | $10.56 | 3h ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?No | buy | 2 | $0.840 | $1.68 | 3h ago |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?No | sell | 3.19 | $0.840 | $2.68 | 3h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes | buy | 50.81 | $0.170 | $8.64 | 3h ago |
 Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.035 | $0.14 | 3h ago |
| Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.965 | $67.55 | 3h ago |
 Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | 3h ago |
| Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?No | buy | 60 | $0.370 | $22.2 | 3h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 10?No | sell | 0.8 | $0.430 | $0.34 | 4h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 10?Yes | buy | 25.11 | $0.568 | $14.25 | 4h ago |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 5 | $0.838 | $4.19 | 4h ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.162 | $14.58 | 4h ago |