Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Name: Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No · settled Mar 29, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.4M

Resolved

Settled

Mar 29, 2026 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	653.8K	0.0%	$0
misterluna	Yes	86.78K	5.7%	$4.92K
Immense-Predecessor	Yes	33K	0.0%	$0
rivermarkets	Yes	27.26K	1.5%	$397.58	Mar 29, 2:41 AM UTC
Jade Beacon 69C0	Yes	25.15K	4.1%	$1.03K
Ivory Ledger 752C	Yes	18.02K	4.0%	$716.05
Golden Maven ECAD	Yes	17.76K	6.9%	$1.22K
0xpercevil	Yes	12.71K	3.9%	$499.99
zdggry	Yes	10.21K	4.1%	$422.99
nakshi	Yes	8.65K	4.6%	$400
asdlkfjkdkdkdkljasdf	Yes	7.6K	3.9%	$295.62
cry.eth2	Yes	6.34K	0.0%	$0	Mar 29, 2:56 AM UTC
twdaddy	Yes	4.75K	5.3%	$250.68
MMH5	Yes	4.48K	3.6%	$161.17
coryinsiderz	Yes	4K	3.8%	$152
booftroop	Yes	4K	0.1%	$6
ZtAlpha	Yes	3.86K	6.3%	$245
Golden Beacon 67A6	Yes	2.86K	1.8%	$53.09
SanguineDuck	Yes	2.84K	6.7%	$190
Neon Scout D064	Yes	2.69K	0.0%	$0
Flawless-Stepmother	Yes	2.59K	3.9%	$100
TheJumpinMouse1004	Yes	2.45K	4.1%	$99.92
bidenfan69	Yes	2.44K	4.1%	$100
Tender-Solvency	Yes	2.4K	6.3%	$152.12
Sreeder26	Yes	2.38K	4.2%	$100
YieldingFlow	Yes	2.14K	8.2%	$175
TraderBackwards	Yes	2.11K	5.7%	$120
Emerald Vector 8170	Yes	2K	4.1%	$82
LukeDelta	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2
terminalline - 20450	Yes	2K	5.4%	$108
Standard-Analyst	Yes	1.61K	6.2%	$100
vvvccfdff	Yes	1.54K	5.7%	$88
Loathsome-Wiseguy	Yes	1.5K	4.6%	$69.39
AlmightyKronos	Yes	1.44K	6.9%	$100
rated	Yes	1.41K	0.0%	$0	Mar 29, 2:30 AM UTC
Novus0rdoSeclorum	Yes	1.35K	0.0%	$0
mustbethewater	Yes	1.34K	0.0%	$0
ERN993	Yes	1.33K	0.0%	$0
lionss	Yes	1.32K	4.7%	$62.65	Mar 29, 1:42 AM UTC
Bankthefrank	Yes	1.31K	3.8%	$50
Revolving-Pea	Yes	1.25K	4.2%	$52.6
ThisIsBonkers	Yes	1.25K	6.5%	$81.39
2wsxV45	Yes	1.18K	4.2%	$50
RawadRamadan	Yes	1.18K	6.5%	$76.78
BelleVegas	Yes	1.13K	6.6%	$75.08
Mr.Dink	Yes	1.11K	6.9%	$76.79
DickTurbin	Yes	1.11K	3.8%	$41.8
gregggy	Yes	1.09K	6.7%	$72.98
Kr2025	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
leegunner	Yes	1K	5.1%	$51
Rcord-Sports	Yes	1K	3.8%	$38
Filthy-Reliability	Yes	980.43	4.2%	$41.15
Slimy-Modeling	Yes	947.59	0.0%	$0
CHICKENMCDINDIN	Yes	892.86	5.6%	$50
GreshamsLaw	Yes	877.19	5.7%	$50
Draflier	Yes	824.49	12.1%	$100
rufusteague	Yes	823.89	6.1%	$50
fastl0gic	Yes	804.88	4.1%	$33
gh0st	Yes	791.02	4.4%	$35
dubbbbbbb	Yes	777.86	6.3%	$49.4
Anon321321	Yes	748.03	1.1%	$8.32
bearwin	Yes	723.99	2.8%	$20.27
tbyrd2	Yes	674.93	3.9%	$26
Spherical-Pajamas	Yes	643.08	3.6%	$23.43
Scornful-Conductor	Yes	642.91	2.0%	$12.8	Mar 28, 2:29 AM UTC
Unusual-Industry	Yes	619.56	3.9%	$24
pd.unique	Yes	616.57	0.0%	$0
tiaoplke	Yes	610	6.1%	$37.21
products	Yes	599	0.0%	$0
tgfdfgrhhtjy	Yes	593	4.2%	$24.91
Flickering-Stockintrade	Yes	543.57	5.5%	$30
Jade Meteor 4C19	Yes	535.86	5.8%	$31
Friendly-Yarmulke	Yes	517.9	5.7%	$29.75	Mar 29, 1:53 AM UTC
immanuelcan	Yes	512.57	4.5%	$23.02
blissfltht	Yes	500	6.6%	$33
Amber Oracle E4BC	Yes	454.55	5.6%	$25.57
gitignoredotsol	Yes	434.99	4.6%	$20
Feminine-Lymphocyte	Yes	400	4.1%	$16.4
cmcph	Yes	395.35	4.3%	$17
a1yssa	Yes	394.06	3.8%	$15
Emerald Sphinx 3DF6	Yes	393	6.0%	$23.52
Themegaman	Yes	373.77	6.9%	$25.79
Better-Trailer	Yes	367.37	5.4%	$20
stove454	Yes	357.14	5.6%	$20
Misty Horizon DC22	Yes	345.5	7.4%	$25.57
Overtheledge	Yes	338.46	6.5%	$22
NopetyDopety	Yes	334.79	3.8%	$12.75
Lucid1008	Yes	311.93	6.9%	$21.43	Mar 28, 8:52 PM UTC
Emerald Summit B54D	Yes	310	4.1%	$12.71
Rustyrigalson1980	Yes	309.28	4.8%	$15
sunshines	No	300	89.7%	$269
MontyWalsh	Yes	300	3.8%	$11.4
Deafening-Possible	Yes	300	0.1%	$0.3
BENCARLSONFOREVER	Yes	300	4.3%	$12.9
Elderknoll	Yes	289.64	7.9%	$23
YEYEYEYEYE5	Yes	285.71	7.0%	$20
Bold Tide 2574	Yes	283.75	6.8%	$19.38
PrimePenguin	Yes	279.07	6.5%	$18.14
Amber Pulse 273B	Yes	269.98	5.6%	$15.12
bonkybonk	Yes	261.3	3.8%	$10
OrsinoFury	No	260.05	95.0%	$247	Mar 28, 3:06 PM UTC
quarles-036	Yes	260	5.3%	$13.78	Mar 28, 3:06 PM UTC
nrnn	Yes	251.19	0.0%	$0	Mar 29, 2:28 AM UTC
KickButowski	Yes	250	3.8%	$9.49
Married-Tangerine	Yes	243.9	4.1%	$10
reitzservices	Yes	242.27	3.3%	$8
fundpol	Yes	242.21	5.4%	$13.08
zcy654	Yes	230.68	5.6%	$13
mobes2005	Yes	228.19	4.4%	$10
Archibald849	Yes	228	5.1%	$11.63
Luis903	Yes	220.99	5.1%	$11.27
Weepy-Email	Yes	217.18	4.6%	$10
Jayjaysee	Yes	209.94	3.8%	$8
BigFishSushiChief	Yes	207	0.0%	$0
Swift Kestrel BAE2	Yes	200	6.5%	$13
TENETENET	Yes	200	0.1%	$0.2
bcgyu76	Yes	200	5.4%	$10.8	Mar 28, 5:58 AM UTC
jack124	Yes	200	5.7%	$11.4
idontmis	Yes	200	3.9%	$7.8
Swift Ledger AA79	Yes	200	6.9%	$13.78
metmaxi	Yes	200	6.2%	$12.49
junglediff	Yes	200	3.8%	$7.6
Rapid Beacon 87EA	Yes	182.23	4.4%	$8
True-Veto	Yes	175.44	5.7%	$10
Valuebettor	Yes	170.56	0.0%	$0	Mar 29, 2:28 AM UTC
Reaper738383	Yes	170	5.8%	$9.86
123sc	Yes	165.14	7.0%	$11.56
Gaijinx	Yes	163.93	6.1%	$10
rdh	Yes	155.87	6.4%	$10
Jade Quasar CA80	Yes	153.08	6.5%	$9.95
Archibald698	Yes	150	0.1%	$0.15
Lunar Kestrel F6AA	Yes	150	0.0%	$0
urinalcollector	Yes	149.4	6.7%	$10
rightup	Yes	149.25	6.7%	$10
0xmorpheus0	Yes	142.86	7.0%	$10
HE222	Yes	142.86	4.2%	$6
Bearmii	Yes	140	4.5%	$6.3
Peakotop	Yes	138.89	3.6%	$5
IL..SAVU	Yes	134.43	7.0%	$9.41
STEAMABUNGA	Yes	130	3.8%	$4.94
Jade Atlas 0EAA	Yes	128.85	2.3%	$2.92
harryzang	Yes	128.21	3.9%	$5
BradleyHiggins	No	121.95	93.7%	$114.25
Evergreen-Tourist	Yes	119.05	4.2%	$5
BigDooon	Yes	119.05	4.2%	$5
Mangy62	Yes	115.64	3.7%	$4.26
alltrue	Yes	113.64	4.4%	$5
wabaki	Yes	111.11	6.3%	$7
ezpgk03	Yes	110.37	5.1%	$5.63
wovho	Yes	101.79	6.7%	$6.82
bigfishnoshrimp	Yes	101.62	6.9%	$7
Lunar Meteor D9E6	Yes	100	5.7%	$5.7
sunshines	Yes	99.98	8.0%	$8
kamtheman	Yes	98.36	6.1%	$6
Bumpy-Sultan	Yes	95.28	5.2%	$5	Mar 28, 3:06 PM UTC
Loamlo	Yes	94.34	5.3%	$5	Mar 28, 3:35 PM UTC
Snoopy-Contention	Yes	88.12	5.7%	$5
twuser	Yes	86.5	5.4%	$4.65
moon-k58-lad	Yes	86	0.0%	$0
Leafy-Infancy	Yes	84.75	5.9%	$5
bbcjones	Yes	82.37	3.6%	$3
Slapshot1519	Yes	81.97	6.1%	$5
Cerberus12	Yes	76.92	6.5%	$5
aoimic23	Yes	75	3.3%	$2.48
keoko	Yes	73.7	2.8%	$2.1
Twelvesteps	Yes	70	4.3%	$3.01
xweedvr	Yes	69.05	5.8%	$4
Ilya31	Yes	66.67	2.8%	$1.87
Neon Beacon 7933	Yes	65.73	6.1%	$4	Mar 28, 8:52 PM UTC
ganjubas22	Yes	63.93	3.3%	$2.11
19283746	Yes	62.4	3.0%	$1.87
Keen Voyager 7505	Yes	62.22	6.3%	$3.92
Occasional-Godparent	Yes	61.4	8.1%	$5
Lency	Yes	60.67	6.0%	$3.64
Remote-Testing	Yes	60.01	0.6%	$0.34
fancysauce14	Yes	57.97	6.9%	$4
slimboned	Yes	57.14	3.5%	$2
miymama	Yes	54.43	2.6%	$1.42
Bright Comet 6C6E	Yes	52.24	2.3%	$1.2
Royal Ledger 915D	Yes	51.28	3.9%	$2
hoking8888	Yes	50	4.3%	$2.15
shapper	Yes	50	5.4%	$2.71
Cigarettes-645	Yes	49.59	10.4%	$5.17	Mar 29, 1:42 AM UTC
bmpv	Yes	49.18	6.1%	$3
Blue-Marketing	Yes	48.78	4.1%	$2
O.12	Yes	47.69	6.5%	$3.1
dwk88	Yes	46.51	4.3%	$2
wmccc	Yes	46.51	4.3%	$2
simplystupid188	Yes	45.91	6.2%	$2.85
Golden Scout B6F3	Yes	44.23	5.2%	$2.3	Mar 28, 12:57 PM UTC
Igoraa	Yes	42.86	7.0%	$3
SCHDNATE	Yes	42.63	3.8%	$1.62
Odubd	Yes	40	5.7%	$2.28	Mar 28, 10:27 PM UTC
Portly-Guava	Yes	36.36	5.5%	$2
Trim-Trowel	Yes	36	0.6%	$0.21
Cronio	Yes	35.71	2.8%	$1
mountaingreen	Yes	34.88	0.7%	$0.25
FutureTech	Yes	33.44	4.7%	$1.57
Coral Kestrel ECE5	Yes	33.34	5.8%	$1.92
daroghi	Yes	30	8.2%	$2.46	Mar 28, 10:27 PM UTC
Indigo Raven BC48	Yes	30	6.7%	$2.01
Neon Horizon D1C3	Yes	30	5.5%	$1.65
Poised-Hug	Yes	30	4.1%	$1.23
triklozoid	Yes	30	0.1%	$0.03
huangwei3	Yes	29.41	3.4%	$1
jdssolo	Yes	29.17	3.4%	$1
Jade Comet 67D2	Yes	28.6	6.8%	$1.93
Cobalt Pulse 55DF	Yes	27.03	3.7%	$1
Frigid-Stepgrandfather	Yes	26.45	3.8%	$1
Indigo Harbor F9F8	Yes	25.98	3.8%	$0.99
Plaintive-Wave	Yes	24.39	4.1%	$1
ati3349	Yes	24	4.3%	$1.03
zizikiki	Yes	23.26	4.3%	$1
Menacing-Convention	Yes	23.26	4.3%	$1
Coral Meteor FC53	Yes	21.42	6.7%	$1.44
Crimson Beacon C5A1	Yes	20	4.6%	$0.92
Nutty-Lunchmeat	Yes	19.99	5.1%	$1.02
CryptoJAXY	Yes	19.52	4.1%	$0.8	Mar 28, 2:48 AM UTC
Indigo Pioneer A0F2	Yes	18	5.6%	$1.01
Quiet Atlas 94BB	Yes	18	5.7%	$1.03
FutureReader.	Yes	17.86	5.6%	$1
Nico1980	Yes	17.86	5.6%	$1
jeter0304	Yes	17.54	5.7%	$1
Gruesome-Swim	Yes	17.24	5.8%	$1
Insignificant-Criminal	Yes	17.24	5.8%	$1	Mar 28, 6:25 PM UTC
Unsightly-Radar	No	16.95	94.4%	$16
jofly	Yes	15.88	4.7%	$0.75
sacre	Yes	15.38	6.5%	$1
papaluis369	Yes	14.93	6.7%	$1
Ugly-Metallurgist	Yes	14.92	5.6%	$0.84
Isakdenlille1	Yes	14.49	6.9%	$1
clausemaster	Yes	13.61	2.9%	$0.39
Woozy-Secretary	Yes	12.8	4.0%	$0.51
madurov	No	12.51	95.9%	$12
buioe	No	12.5	96.0%	$12
Weekday	No	12.47	96.2%	$12
Lunar Signal 71A5	Yes	12.05	8.3%	$1
euikans	No	11.63	94.6%	$11
tiolse	No	11.6	94.8%	$11
LynxTitan	Yes	10.65	4.1%	$0.44
yhuoi	No	10.59	94.4%	$10
rogervve	No	10.38	96.3%	$10
njkfgh	No	10	93.7%	$9.37
constantinskuratovbelsky	Yes	10	6.0%	$0.6
Unwelcome-Budget	Yes	10	11.4%	$1.14	Mar 29, 2:05 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	9.99	1.9%	$0.19
TheFinalPercent	Yes	7.87	1.0%	$0.08
francopa	Yes	6.33	3.8%	$0.24
mlxa	No	6	96.0%	$5.76
aadergek	No	5.21	95.9%	$5
Hinshaw	Yes	5	0.1%	$0.01
Thunderous-Menu	Yes	5	5.6%	$0.28
mrjonescrypto	Yes	5	7.0%	$0.35
jjzzh	Yes	5	0.1%	$0.01
Sleepy-Cactus	Yes	5	0.1%	$0.01
Royal Scout 7ACF	Yes	5	4.5%	$0.23
DeveloperAmateur	Yes	5	4.4%	$0.22
Sparkling-Rope	Yes	4.99	2.8%	$0.14
ChristheKitten	No	4.17	95.9%	$4
TonyMicelli	No	4	96.0%	$3.84
usdt1	No	3.13	95.8%	$3
pmjiqiren	No	2.54	94.7%	$2.41
Royal Pioneer B851	Yes	2	5.6%	$0.11
NoMoreMister	Yes	1.84	1.1%	$0.02
Metamask-022326	Yes	1.52	0.0%	$0
Lavincey	Yes	0.99	5.4%	$0.05
caroleblair4764	No	0.68	94.3%	$0.64
violetta86taylor	No	0.67	94.4%	$0.63
Julissa542	Yes	0.46	6.4%	$0.03
Julissa542	No	0.43	94.3%	$0.41
zoeodalys2245	Yes	0.41	5.5%	$0.02
shine	Yes	0.18	0.9%	$0
Azure Voyager EAAC	Yes	0.15	6.9%	$0.01

273 of 273 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$653.8K
OrsinoFury	$260.05
sunshines	$200.02

Analytics