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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.59 | $0.361 | $4.13 | -$1.49 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.75 | $0.165 | $4.07 | Apr 8, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 3.41 |
| $0.880 |
| $3.22 |
| +$0.22 |
 Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3.19 | +$0.19 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes | 101.8 | $0.072 | $2.34 | -$5.04 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21.93 | $0.257 | $0.99 | -$4.65 |
 Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 11.24 | $0.145 | $0.83 | -$0.8 |
| sell |
| 25 |
| $0.180 |
| $4.5 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 186.81 | $0.091 | $17 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.27 | $0.150 | $5.59 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 24?Yes | buy | 4.3 | $0.690 | $2.97 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 24?Yes | buy | 3.2 | $0.630 | $2.02 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 24?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.630 | $1.01 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 4.77 | $0.064 | $0.31 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.02 | $0.240 | $1.68 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.59 | $0.380 | $3.64 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 44 days or more?Yes | buy | 3.8 | $0.790 | $3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.370 | $3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.51 | $0.461 | $3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 AWS service disrupted by March 31?No | buy | 177.73 | $0.017 | $3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.82 | $0.340 | $3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.979 | $0.05 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.982 | $0.05 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.986 | $0.09 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.983 | $0.16 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.987 | $0.1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 3.1 | $0.370 | $1.15 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 2.48 | $0.480 | $1.19 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.49 | $0.240 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 23?Yes | buy | 17.6 | $0.080 | $1.41 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.540 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.590 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 5.93 | $0.410 | $2.43 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 6.24 | $0.540 | $3.37 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 1.97 | $0.942 | $1.86 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?No | sell | 1.97 | $0.983 | $1.94 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1.97 | $0.990 | $1.95 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 1.99 | $0.981 | $1.95 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 2.99 | $0.958 | $2.86 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31?No | sell | 4.9 | $0.987 | $4.84 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.979 | $4.89 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.988 | $4.94 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.623 | $5 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?Yes | buy | 611.93 | $0.005 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Jeanne Barseghian be the next mayor of Strasbourg?Yes | buy | 17.41 | $0.172 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?No | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 22?Yes | buy | 14.3 | $0.220 | $3.15 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.971 | $3 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.970 | $3 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 |