Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, about where the market opened on 23 Jul 2026.
A week ago Yes was at 0.1%; a month ago, 0.1%.
Josh Stein ranks 38th of the 53 outcomes in “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads at 17.9%; Gavin Newsom is at 15.4%.
$2.49K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.4M since listing. The order book holds $2.03M, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.28K bought Yes and $45.82K bought No; the largest was a $4.64K buy of No at 99.9¢.
The largest Yes position is petanimal with 1.02M shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.14M. Ten wallets hold 87.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 9, 11:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 78 points · 23 Jul 2026 – 9 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.14M |
| petanimal | Yes | 1.02M |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Yes | 629.67K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028
40 more outcomes, none above 1.4%.
| AnonymousUsername | Yes | 132.64K |
| J-E-R | Yes | 112.83K |
| Trim-Trowel | Yes | 106.55K |
| DonKarabas | Yes | 100K |
| uprightuser | Yes | 100K |
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 93.08K |
| Asperatus | Yes | 80K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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