Analytics
Yes is at 20.7%, down 5.8 points from 26.5% when the market opened on 19 Jul 2025.
Across the 462 daily closes on record from 19 Jul 2025 to 6 Nov 2026 (14 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 31.5% on 17 Dec 2025 and the lowest 14.8% on 10 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 16.8%; a month before, 20.1%.
JD Vance ranks second of the 55 outcomes in “Presidential Election Winner 2028”. Jon Ossoff leads at 20.8%; Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is at 12.2%.
$302.07K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $18.6M since listing. The order book holds $418.91K, with a 0.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $72.85K bought Yes and $15.83K bought No; the largest was a $34.46K buy of Yes at 17.8¢.
The largest Yes position is 98better with 898K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.86M. Ten wallets hold 77.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 462 points, 19 Jul 2025 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 10%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2025 | 26.5% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 20.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.86M |
| 98better | Yes | 897.99K |
| woshiLimpeh | Yes | 453.77K |
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028
43 more outcomes, none above 1.1%.
| Used-Wholesale |
| Yes |
| 250.61K |
| lastminwin | No | 244.03K |
| nextdayoff | Yes | 206.11K |
| Monopoly_Money | Yes | 161.07K |
| tugator | Yes | 157.5K |
| ScottyNooo | Yes | 100K |
| Nadmi | Yes | 100K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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